Dominos Pizza Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 408.16
| DPZ Stock | USD 409.02 3.42 0.83% |
Closest to current price Dominos long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Dominos |
Dominos Pizza Target Price Odds to finish below 408.16
The tendency of Dominos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 408.16 or more in 90 days |
| 409.02 | 90 days | 408.16 | about 17.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dominos Pizza to drop to $ 408.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.06 (This Dominos Pizza probability density function shows the probability of Dominos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dominos Pizza price to stay between $ 408.16 and its current price of $409.02 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dominos Pizza has a beta of 0.82 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dominos Pizza average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dominos Pizza will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dominos Pizza has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dominos Pizza Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Dominos Pizza
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dominos Pizza. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dominos Pizza's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dominos Pizza Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dominos Pizza is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dominos Pizza's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dominos Pizza, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dominos Pizza within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 41.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Dominos Pizza Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dominos Pizza for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dominos Pizza can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dominos Pizza generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Dominos Pizza Inc Is Being Investigated For Violating Securities Laws And The Schall Law Firm Invites Affected Stockholders To Reach Out |
Dominos Pizza Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dominos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dominos Pizza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dominos Pizza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 114.1 M |
Dominos Pizza Technical Analysis
Dominos Pizza's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dominos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dominos Pizza. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dominos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dominos Pizza Predictive Forecast Models
Dominos Pizza's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dominos Pizza's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dominos Pizza's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dominos Pizza
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dominos Pizza for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dominos Pizza help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dominos Pizza generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Dominos Pizza Inc Is Being Investigated For Violating Securities Laws And The Schall Law Firm Invites Affected Stockholders To Reach Out |
Additional Tools for Dominos Stock Analysis
When running Dominos Pizza's price analysis, check to measure Dominos Pizza's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dominos Pizza is operating at the current time. Most of Dominos Pizza's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dominos Pizza's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dominos Pizza's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dominos Pizza to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.