Dunham Appreciation Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.92
| DNAIX Fund | USD 8.84 0.01 0.11% |
Dunham |
Dunham Appreciation Target Price Odds to finish over 8.92
The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.92 or more in 90 days |
| 8.84 | 90 days | 8.92 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham Appreciation to move over $ 8.92 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dunham Appreciation Income probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dunham Appreciation price to stay between its current price of $ 8.84 and $ 8.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.52 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Appreciation Income has a beta of -0.0228 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dunham Appreciation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dunham Appreciation Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dunham Appreciation Income has an alpha of 0.0137, implying that it can generate a 0.0137 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dunham Appreciation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dunham Appreciation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham Appreciation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dunham Appreciation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dunham Appreciation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham Appreciation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham Appreciation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham Appreciation Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham Appreciation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.39 |
Dunham Appreciation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunham Appreciation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunham Appreciation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 39.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Dunham Appreciation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dunham Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dunham Appreciation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dunham Appreciation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dunham Appreciation Technical Analysis
Dunham Appreciation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dunham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dunham Appreciation Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dunham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dunham Appreciation Predictive Forecast Models
Dunham Appreciation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dunham Appreciation's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dunham Appreciation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dunham Appreciation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunham Appreciation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dunham Appreciation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 39.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund
Dunham Appreciation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham Appreciation security.
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