Coastal Carolina Bancshares Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 9.05

CCNB Stock  USD 9.93  0.14  1.39%   
Coastal Carolina's future price is the expected price of Coastal Carolina instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coastal Carolina Bancshares performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coastal Carolina Backtesting, Coastal Carolina Valuation, Coastal Carolina Correlation, Coastal Carolina Hype Analysis, Coastal Carolina Volatility, Coastal Carolina History as well as Coastal Carolina Performance.
  
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Coastal Carolina Target Price Odds to finish below 9.05

The tendency of Coastal OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.05  or more in 90 days
 9.93 90 days 9.05 
about 9.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coastal Carolina to drop to $ 9.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.81 (This Coastal Carolina Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Coastal OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coastal Carolina Ban price to stay between $ 9.05  and its current price of $9.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Coastal Carolina has a beta of 0.0571 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coastal Carolina average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coastal Carolina Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coastal Carolina Bancshares has an alpha of 0.0948, implying that it can generate a 0.0948 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Coastal Carolina Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coastal Carolina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coastal Carolina Ban. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coastal Carolina's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.0510.0711.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.789.8010.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.1710.1911.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0510.0810.11
Details

Coastal Carolina Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coastal Carolina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coastal Carolina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coastal Carolina Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coastal Carolina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Coastal Carolina Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coastal OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coastal Carolina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coastal Carolina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.2 M

Coastal Carolina Technical Analysis

Coastal Carolina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coastal OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coastal Carolina Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coastal OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coastal Carolina Predictive Forecast Models

Coastal Carolina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coastal Carolina's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coastal Carolina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Coastal Carolina in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Coastal Carolina's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Coastal Carolina options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Coastal OTC Stock

Coastal Carolina financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coastal OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coastal with respect to the benefits of owning Coastal Carolina security.