Central Asia (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 185.29
| CAML Stock | 168.80 0.80 0.47% |
Central |
Central Asia Target Price Odds to finish below 185.29
The tendency of Central Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 185.29 after 90 days |
| 168.80 | 90 days | 185.29 | about 69.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Central Asia to stay under 185.29 after 90 days from now is about 69.01 (This Central Asia Metals probability density function shows the probability of Central Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Central Asia Metals price to stay between its current price of 168.80 and 185.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Central Asia has a beta of 0.66 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Central Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Central Asia Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Central Asia Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Central Asia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Central Asia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Asia Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Central Asia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Central Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Central Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Central Asia Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Central Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Central Asia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Central Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Central Asia Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Central Asia Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of October 2024 Central Asia paid 0.09 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Central Asia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Central Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Central Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 190.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.8 M |
Central Asia Technical Analysis
Central Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Central Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Central Asia Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Central Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Central Asia Predictive Forecast Models
Central Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Central Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Central Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Central Asia Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Central Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Central Asia Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Central Asia Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of October 2024 Central Asia paid 0.09 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Additional Tools for Central Stock Analysis
When running Central Asia's price analysis, check to measure Central Asia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Asia is operating at the current time. Most of Central Asia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Asia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Asia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Asia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.