Burcelik Bursa (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 205.83
| BURCE Stock | TRY 222.80 4.80 2.11% |
Burcelik |
Burcelik Bursa Target Price Odds to finish over 205.83
The tendency of Burcelik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 205.83 in 90 days |
| 222.80 | 90 days | 205.83 | about 50.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Burcelik Bursa to stay above 205.83 in 90 days from now is about 50.19 (This Burcelik Bursa Celik probability density function shows the probability of Burcelik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Burcelik Bursa Celik price to stay between 205.83 and its current price of 222.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Burcelik Bursa has a beta of 0.42 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Burcelik Bursa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Burcelik Bursa Celik will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Burcelik Bursa Celik has an alpha of 0.2014, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Burcelik Bursa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Burcelik Bursa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burcelik Bursa Celik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burcelik Bursa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Burcelik Bursa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Burcelik Bursa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Burcelik Bursa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Burcelik Bursa Celik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Burcelik Bursa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 25.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Burcelik Bursa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Burcelik Bursa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Burcelik Bursa Celik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Burcelik Bursa Celik had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Burcelik Bursa Celik has accumulated 40.74 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Burcelik Bursa Celik has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Burcelik Bursa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Burcelik Bursa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Burcelik Bursa Celik sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Burcelik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Burcelik Bursa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 47.0% of Burcelik Bursa shares are held by company insiders |
Burcelik Bursa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Burcelik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Burcelik Bursa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burcelik Bursa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 4.4 M |
Burcelik Bursa Technical Analysis
Burcelik Bursa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Burcelik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Burcelik Bursa Celik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Burcelik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Burcelik Bursa Predictive Forecast Models
Burcelik Bursa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Burcelik Bursa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Burcelik Bursa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Burcelik Bursa Celik
Checking the ongoing alerts about Burcelik Bursa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Burcelik Bursa Celik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Burcelik Bursa Celik had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Burcelik Bursa Celik has accumulated 40.74 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Burcelik Bursa Celik has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Burcelik Bursa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Burcelik Bursa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Burcelik Bursa Celik sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Burcelik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Burcelik Bursa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 47.0% of Burcelik Bursa shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Burcelik Stock
Burcelik Bursa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Burcelik Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Burcelik with respect to the benefits of owning Burcelik Bursa security.