Borregaard ASA (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 186.63
| BRG Stock | NOK 192.40 3.60 1.84% |
Borregaard |
Borregaard ASA Target Price Odds to finish over 186.63
The tendency of Borregaard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 186.63 in 90 days |
| 192.40 | 90 days | 186.63 | about 85.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Borregaard ASA to stay above 186.63 in 90 days from now is about 85.08 (This Borregaard ASA probability density function shows the probability of Borregaard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Borregaard ASA price to stay between 186.63 and its current price of 192.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Borregaard ASA has a beta of 0.23 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Borregaard ASA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Borregaard ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Borregaard ASA has an alpha of 0.1049, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Borregaard ASA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Borregaard ASA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Borregaard ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Borregaard ASA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Borregaard ASA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Borregaard ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Borregaard ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Borregaard ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Borregaard ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Borregaard ASA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Borregaard ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Borregaard ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 1.32 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Borregaard ASA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Borregaard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Borregaard ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Borregaard ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 124 M |
Borregaard ASA Technical Analysis
Borregaard ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Borregaard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Borregaard ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Borregaard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Borregaard ASA Predictive Forecast Models
Borregaard ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Borregaard ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Borregaard ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Borregaard ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Borregaard ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Borregaard ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 1.32 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Borregaard Stock
Borregaard ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Borregaard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Borregaard with respect to the benefits of owning Borregaard ASA security.