Borlease Otomotiv (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.18
| BORLS Stock | 36.14 0.36 1.01% |
Borlease |
Borlease Otomotiv Target Price Odds to finish over 39.18
The tendency of Borlease Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 39.18 or more in 90 days |
| 36.14 | 90 days | 39.18 | about 17.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Borlease Otomotiv to move over 39.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.95 (This Borlease Otomotiv AS probability density function shows the probability of Borlease Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Borlease Otomotiv price to stay between its current price of 36.14 and 39.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Borlease Otomotiv has a beta of 0.64 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Borlease Otomotiv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Borlease Otomotiv AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Borlease Otomotiv AS has an alpha of 0.176, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Borlease Otomotiv Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Borlease Otomotiv
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Borlease Otomotiv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Borlease Otomotiv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Borlease Otomotiv Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Borlease Otomotiv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Borlease Otomotiv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Borlease Otomotiv AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Borlease Otomotiv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Borlease Otomotiv Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Borlease Otomotiv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Borlease Otomotiv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Borlease Otomotiv had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Borlease Otomotiv Technical Analysis
Borlease Otomotiv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Borlease Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Borlease Otomotiv AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Borlease Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Borlease Otomotiv Predictive Forecast Models
Borlease Otomotiv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Borlease Otomotiv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Borlease Otomotiv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Borlease Otomotiv
Checking the ongoing alerts about Borlease Otomotiv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Borlease Otomotiv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Borlease Otomotiv had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |