Namhwa Industrial (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5,465

111710 Stock  KRW 5,430  30.00  0.56%   
Namhwa Industrial's future price is the expected price of Namhwa Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Namhwa Industrial Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Namhwa Industrial Backtesting, Namhwa Industrial Valuation, Namhwa Industrial Correlation, Namhwa Industrial Hype Analysis, Namhwa Industrial Volatility, Namhwa Industrial History as well as Namhwa Industrial Performance.
  
Please specify Namhwa Industrial's target price for which you would like Namhwa Industrial odds to be computed.

Namhwa Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 5,465

The tendency of Namhwa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5,430 90 days 5,430 
about 1.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Namhwa Industrial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.84 (This Namhwa Industrial Co probability density function shows the probability of Namhwa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Namhwa Industrial Co has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Namhwa Industrial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Namhwa Industrial Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Namhwa Industrial Co has an alpha of 0.1324, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Namhwa Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Namhwa Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Namhwa Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,4295,4305,431
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,4114,4125,973
Details

Namhwa Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Namhwa Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Namhwa Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Namhwa Industrial Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Namhwa Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
219.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Namhwa Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Namhwa Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Namhwa Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Namhwa Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Namhwa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Namhwa Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Namhwa Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.6 M
Dividends Paid2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments45.6 B
Shares Float1.1 M

Namhwa Industrial Technical Analysis

Namhwa Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Namhwa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Namhwa Industrial Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Namhwa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Namhwa Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Namhwa Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Namhwa Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Namhwa Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Namhwa Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Namhwa Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Namhwa Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Namhwa Stock

Namhwa Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Namhwa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Namhwa with respect to the benefits of owning Namhwa Industrial security.