Chinyang Hold (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3213.42

100250 Stock   3,165  5.00  0.16%   
Chinyang Hold's future price is the expected price of Chinyang Hold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chinyang Hold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chinyang Hold Backtesting, Chinyang Hold Valuation, Chinyang Hold Correlation, Chinyang Hold Hype Analysis, Chinyang Hold Volatility, Chinyang Hold History as well as Chinyang Hold Performance.
  
Please specify Chinyang Hold's target price for which you would like Chinyang Hold odds to be computed.

Chinyang Hold Target Price Odds to finish over 3213.42

The tendency of Chinyang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3,213  or more in 90 days
 3,165 90 days 3,213 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chinyang Hold to move over  3,213  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chinyang Hold probability density function shows the probability of Chinyang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chinyang Hold price to stay between its current price of  3,165  and  3,213  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chinyang Hold has a beta of -0.0046. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chinyang Hold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chinyang Hold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chinyang Hold has an alpha of 0.0103, implying that it can generate a 0.0103 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Chinyang Hold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chinyang Hold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chinyang Hold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,1653,1653,165
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,1333,1333,482
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,1513,1523,152
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,1553,1793,204
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chinyang Hold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chinyang Hold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chinyang Hold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chinyang Hold.

Chinyang Hold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chinyang Hold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chinyang Hold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chinyang Hold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chinyang Hold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0046
σ
Overall volatility
13.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Chinyang Hold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chinyang Hold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chinyang Hold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Chinyang Hold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chinyang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chinyang Hold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chinyang Hold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.8 M

Chinyang Hold Technical Analysis

Chinyang Hold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chinyang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chinyang Hold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chinyang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chinyang Hold Predictive Forecast Models

Chinyang Hold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chinyang Hold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chinyang Hold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Chinyang Hold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chinyang Hold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chinyang Hold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Chinyang Stock

Chinyang Hold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chinyang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chinyang with respect to the benefits of owning Chinyang Hold security.