Sokoman Minerals OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SICNF Stock  USD 0.02  0.01  20.67%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sokoman Minerals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15. Sokoman OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sokoman Minerals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Sokoman Minerals - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Sokoman Minerals prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Sokoman Minerals price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Sokoman Minerals Corp.

Sokoman Minerals Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sokoman Minerals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000964, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sokoman OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sokoman Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sokoman Minerals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sokoman Minerals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sokoman Minerals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sokoman Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 10.83, respectively. We have considered Sokoman Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
10.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sokoman Minerals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sokoman Minerals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0025
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0793
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1456
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Sokoman Minerals observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Sokoman Minerals Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Sokoman Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sokoman Minerals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sokoman Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0210.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0210.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sokoman Minerals

For every potential investor in Sokoman, whether a beginner or expert, Sokoman Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sokoman OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sokoman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sokoman Minerals' price trends.

Sokoman Minerals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sokoman Minerals otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sokoman Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sokoman Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sokoman Minerals Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sokoman Minerals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sokoman Minerals' current price.

Sokoman Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sokoman Minerals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sokoman Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sokoman Minerals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sokoman Minerals Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sokoman Minerals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sokoman Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sokoman Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sokoman otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Sokoman OTC Stock

Sokoman Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sokoman OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sokoman with respect to the benefits of owning Sokoman Minerals security.