IperionX Limited Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IPX Stock  USD 28.04  1.46  4.95%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of IperionX Limited American on the next trading day is expected to be 26.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.41. IperionX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to rise to 36.70 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 0.48 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 228.7 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (14.9 M).
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the IperionX Limited's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
33.2 M
Current Value
34.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
11.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for IperionX Limited is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of IperionX Limited American value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

IperionX Limited Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of IperionX Limited American on the next trading day is expected to be 26.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IperionX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IperionX Limited's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IperionX Limited Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest IperionX LimitedIperionX Limited Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

IperionX Limited Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IperionX Limited's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IperionX Limited's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.67 and 29.99, respectively. We have considered IperionX Limited's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.04
26.33
Expected Value
29.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IperionX Limited stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IperionX Limited stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8878
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6788
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.028
SAESum of the absolute errors41.4094
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of IperionX Limited American. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict IperionX Limited. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for IperionX Limited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IperionX Limited American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.8327.5031.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.6825.3529.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.4227.0831.73
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.3024.5027.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for IperionX Limited

For every potential investor in IperionX, whether a beginner or expert, IperionX Limited's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IperionX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IperionX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IperionX Limited's price trends.

IperionX Limited Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IperionX Limited stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IperionX Limited could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IperionX Limited by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IperionX Limited American Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IperionX Limited's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IperionX Limited's current price.

IperionX Limited Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IperionX Limited stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IperionX Limited shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IperionX Limited stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IperionX Limited American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IperionX Limited Risk Indicators

The analysis of IperionX Limited's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IperionX Limited's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iperionx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for IperionX Stock Analysis

When running IperionX Limited's price analysis, check to measure IperionX Limited's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IperionX Limited is operating at the current time. Most of IperionX Limited's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IperionX Limited's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IperionX Limited's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IperionX Limited to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.