Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

FRFHFDelisted Stock  USD 766.50  2.38  0.31%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fairfax Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 752.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 578.18. Fairfax Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fairfax Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Fairfax Financial polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Fairfax Financial Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Fairfax Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fairfax Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 752.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.48, mean absolute percentage error of 137.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 578.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fairfax Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fairfax Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fairfax Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fairfax Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.0365
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.4784
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors578.1799
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Fairfax Financial historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Fairfax Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fairfax Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
766.50766.50766.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
634.47634.47843.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fairfax Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fairfax Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fairfax Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fairfax Financial.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fairfax Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fairfax Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fairfax Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fairfax Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fairfax Financial Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fairfax Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fairfax Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fairfax Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fairfax pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Other Consideration for investing in Fairfax Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Fairfax Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fairfax Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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