CoreCard Corp Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CCRD Stock  USD 19.71  1.06  5.68%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CoreCard Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.01. CoreCard Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CoreCard Corp stock prices and determine the direction of CoreCard Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CoreCard Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.22, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.99. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 16.8 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 8 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for CoreCard Corp is based on a synthetically constructed CoreCard Corpdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

CoreCard Corp 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CoreCard Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.88, mean absolute percentage error of 4.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CoreCard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CoreCard Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CoreCard Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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CoreCard Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CoreCard Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CoreCard Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.16 and 19.49, respectively. We have considered CoreCard Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.71
16.82
Expected Value
19.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CoreCard Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CoreCard Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.8626
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6753
MADMean absolute deviation1.8782
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1216
SAESum of the absolute errors77.006
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. CoreCard Corp 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for CoreCard Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CoreCard Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2019.8622.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7424.0526.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.2415.0219.81
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.5727.0029.97
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CoreCard Corp

For every potential investor in CoreCard, whether a beginner or expert, CoreCard Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CoreCard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CoreCard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CoreCard Corp's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

CoreCard Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CoreCard Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CoreCard Corp's current price.

CoreCard Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CoreCard Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CoreCard Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CoreCard Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CoreCard Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CoreCard Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of CoreCard Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CoreCard Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting corecard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether CoreCard Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze CoreCard Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CoreCard Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CoreCard Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CoreCard Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CoreCard Stock refer to our How to Trade CoreCard Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CoreCard Corp. If investors know CoreCard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CoreCard Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.50)
Earnings Share
0.49
Revenue Per Share
6.705
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.172
Return On Assets
0.0469
The market value of CoreCard Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CoreCard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CoreCard Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CoreCard Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CoreCard Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CoreCard Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CoreCard Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CoreCard Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CoreCard Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.