Aspeed Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Aspeed Technology price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Aspeed Technology Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Aspeed Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 4,050 with a mean absolute deviation of 127.65, mean absolute percentage error of 27,537, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,786.

Aspeed Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aspeed Technology

Aspeed Technology Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Aspeed Technology Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aspeed Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aspeed Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Aspeed Technology historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Aspeed Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aspeed Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 4,081 4,085 4,089 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 3,535 3,538 4,494 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 3,948 4,095 4,242 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Aspeed Technology

For every potential investor in Aspeed, whether a beginner or expert, Aspeed Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aspeed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aspeed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aspeed Technology's price trends.

Aspeed Technology Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Aspeed Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aspeed Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aspeed Technology's current price.

Aspeed Technology Market Strength Events

Aspeed Technology Risk Indicators

Pair Trading with Aspeed Technology

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aspeed Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aspeed Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Additional Tools for Aspeed Stock Analysis