Vistra Energy Corp Stock Market Value
| VST Stock | USD 85.07 1.19 1.38% |
| Symbol | Vistra |
Vistra Energy Corp Price To Book Ratio
Is Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vistra Energy. If investors know Vistra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vistra Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.838 | Earnings Share 1.63 | Revenue Per Share 37.13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) |
The market value of Vistra Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vistra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vistra Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vistra Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vistra Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vistra Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vistra Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vistra Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vistra Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Vistra Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vistra Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vistra Energy.
| 05/11/2024 |
| 06/10/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vistra Energy on May 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vistra Energy Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vistra Energy over 30 days. Vistra Energy is related to or competes with TransAlta Corp, Kenon Holdings, Datang International, NRG Energy, Power Assets, and AGL Energy. Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company More
Vistra Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vistra Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vistra Energy Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1602 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.37 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.21 |
Vistra Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vistra Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vistra Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vistra Energy historical prices to predict the future Vistra Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.111 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5472 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.5199 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1483 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2902 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vistra Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vistra Energy Corp Backtested Returns
Vistra Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Vistra Energy Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which indicates the firm had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Vistra Energy's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.61% is justified by implied risk. Please review Vistra Energy's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.111, coefficient of variation of 605.23, and Semi Deviation of 3.36 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Vistra Energy holds a performance score of 13. The entity has a beta of 1.94, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vistra Energy will likely underperform. Please check Vistra Energy's sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Vistra Energy's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.49 |
Modest reverse predictability
Vistra Energy Corp has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vistra Energy time series from 11th of May 2024 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 10th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vistra Energy Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Vistra Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.49 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.76 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 63.72 |
Vistra Energy Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vistra Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vistra Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vistra Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vistra Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vistra Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vistra Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vistra Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vistra Energy stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vistra Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vistra Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vistra Energy stock have on its future price. Vistra Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vistra Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vistra Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vistra Energy Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Vistra Energy
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vistra Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vistra Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Vistra Stock
| 0.82 | KEN | Kenon Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | NRG | NRG Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | PAM | Pampa Energia SA | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | TAC | TransAlta Corp | PairCorr |
Moving against Vistra Stock
| 0.64 | ELLO | Ellomay Capital | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | CMS-PC | CMS Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | CMS-PB | Consumers Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | ELPC | Companhia Paranaense | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vistra Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vistra Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vistra Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vistra Energy Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Vistra Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vistra Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vistra Energy Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vistra Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis
When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.