World Growth Fund Market Value

USAWX Fund  USD 29.72  0.14  0.47%   
World Growth's market value is the price at which a share of World Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of World Growth Fund investors about its performance. World Growth is trading at 29.72 as of the 9th of June 2024; that is -0.47 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 29.86.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of World Growth Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in World Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out World Growth Correlation, World Growth Volatility and World Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on World Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between World Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if World Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, World Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

World Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to World Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of World Growth.
0.00
05/10/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
06/09/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in World Growth on May 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding World Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in World Growth over 30 days. World Growth is related to or competes with HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, High-yield Municipal, Thrivent High, Via Renewables, and T Rowe. The fund invests its assets primarily in equity securities of both foreign and domestic issuers More

World Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure World Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess World Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

World Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for World Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as World Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use World Growth historical prices to predict the future World Growth's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of World Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.0629.7230.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7530.5031.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.9829.6430.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.0729.5830.10
Details

World Growth Backtested Returns

We consider World Growth very steady. World Growth shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for World Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out World Growth's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0864, mean deviation of 0.5377, and Downside Deviation of 0.6453 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0743%. The entity maintains a market beta of 0.85, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, World Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding World Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

World Growth Fund has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between World Growth time series from 10th of May 2024 to 25th of May 2024 and 25th of May 2024 to 9th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of World Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current World Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

World Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is World Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting World Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of World Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that World Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

World Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If World Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if World Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in World Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

World Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating World Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of World Growth mutual fund have on its future price. World Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, World Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between World Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in World Growth Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in World Mutual Fund

World Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether World Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in World with respect to the benefits of owning World Growth security.
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