Norsk Hydro Asa Stock Market Value

NHYKF Stock  USD 6.43  0.19  3.04%   
Norsk Hydro's market value is the price at which a share of Norsk Hydro trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Norsk Hydro ASA investors about its performance. Norsk Hydro is trading at 6.43 as of the 5th of May 2024. This is a 3.04 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Norsk Hydro ASA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Norsk Hydro over a given investment horizon. Check out Norsk Hydro Correlation, Norsk Hydro Volatility and Norsk Hydro Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Norsk Hydro.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Norsk Hydro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norsk Hydro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norsk Hydro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Norsk Hydro 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Norsk Hydro's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Norsk Hydro.
0.00
04/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
05/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Norsk Hydro on April 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Norsk Hydro ASA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Norsk Hydro over 30 days. Norsk Hydro is related to or competes with Kaiser Aluminum, Century Aluminum, Constellium, and Alcoa Corp. Norsk Hydro ASA engages in the power production, bauxite extraction, alumina refining, aluminium smelting, remelting, an... More

Norsk Hydro Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Norsk Hydro's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Norsk Hydro ASA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Norsk Hydro Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Norsk Hydro's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Norsk Hydro's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Norsk Hydro historical prices to predict the future Norsk Hydro's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norsk Hydro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.986.438.88
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.885.337.78
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Norsk Hydro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Norsk Hydro's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Norsk Hydro's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Norsk Hydro ASA.

Norsk Hydro ASA Backtested Returns

Norsk Hydro appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Norsk Hydro ASA has Sharpe Ratio of 0.1, which conveys that the firm had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Norsk Hydro, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Norsk Hydro's Mean Deviation of 1.99, risk adjusted performance of 0.0468, and Downside Deviation of 2.36 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Norsk Hydro holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.35, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Norsk Hydro's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Norsk Hydro is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Norsk Hydro's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Norsk Hydro's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.14  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Norsk Hydro ASA has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Norsk Hydro time series from 5th of April 2024 to 20th of April 2024 and 20th of April 2024 to 5th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Norsk Hydro ASA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Norsk Hydro price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Norsk Hydro ASA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Norsk Hydro otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Norsk Hydro's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Norsk Hydro returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Norsk Hydro has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Norsk Hydro regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Norsk Hydro otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Norsk Hydro otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Norsk Hydro otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Norsk Hydro Lagged Returns

When evaluating Norsk Hydro's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Norsk Hydro otc stock have on its future price. Norsk Hydro autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Norsk Hydro autocorrelation shows the relationship between Norsk Hydro otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Norsk Hydro ASA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Norsk Hydro in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Norsk Hydro's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Norsk Hydro options trading.

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Check out Norsk Hydro Correlation, Norsk Hydro Volatility and Norsk Hydro Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Norsk Hydro.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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Norsk Hydro technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Norsk Hydro technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Norsk Hydro trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...