Lumentum Holdings Stock Market Value

LITE Stock  USD 43.30  0.91  2.06%   
Lumentum Holdings' market value is the price at which a share of Lumentum Holdings trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lumentum Holdings investors about its performance. Lumentum Holdings is trading at 43.30 as of the 4th of June 2024, a -2.06% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 43.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lumentum Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lumentum Holdings over a given investment horizon. Check out Lumentum Holdings Correlation, Lumentum Holdings Volatility and Lumentum Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lumentum Holdings.
For information on how to trade Lumentum Stock refer to our How to Trade Lumentum Stock guide.
Symbol

Lumentum Holdings Price To Book Ratio

Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lumentum Holdings. If investors know Lumentum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lumentum Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.711
Earnings Share
(5.26)
Revenue Per Share
21.093
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Lumentum Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumentum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumentum Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumentum Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumentum Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumentum Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumentum Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumentum Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumentum Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lumentum Holdings 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lumentum Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lumentum Holdings.
0.00
06/15/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
06/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lumentum Holdings on June 15, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lumentum Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lumentum Holdings over 720 days. Lumentum Holdings is related to or competes with Hewlett Packard, Zebra Technologies, Belden, and Juniper Networks. Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, t... More

Lumentum Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lumentum Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lumentum Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lumentum Holdings Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lumentum Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lumentum Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lumentum Holdings historical prices to predict the future Lumentum Holdings' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lumentum Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.3443.6345.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.3143.6045.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.3440.6342.92
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
47.0551.7057.39
Details

Lumentum Holdings Backtested Returns

Lumentum Holdings has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0929, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0929% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lumentum Holdings exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lumentum Holdings' Mean Deviation of 1.8, standard deviation of 2.31, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.21, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Lumentum Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lumentum Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lumentum Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to verify Lumentum Holdings' treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Lumentum Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.36  

Below average predictability

Lumentum Holdings has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lumentum Holdings time series from 15th of June 2022 to 10th of June 2023 and 10th of June 2023 to 4th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lumentum Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Lumentum Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.36
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance25.83

Lumentum Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lumentum Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lumentum Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lumentum Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lumentum Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lumentum Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lumentum Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lumentum Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lumentum Holdings stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lumentum Holdings Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lumentum Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lumentum Holdings stock have on its future price. Lumentum Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lumentum Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lumentum Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lumentum Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lumentum Stock

When determining whether Lumentum Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lumentum Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lumentum Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lumentum Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lumentum Holdings Correlation, Lumentum Holdings Volatility and Lumentum Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lumentum Holdings.
For information on how to trade Lumentum Stock refer to our How to Trade Lumentum Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Lumentum Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lumentum Holdings technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lumentum Holdings trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...