Gulf Island Fabrication Stock Market Value
| GIFI Stock | USD 6.95 0.27 4.04% |
| Symbol | Gulf |
Gulf Island Fabrication Price To Book Ratio
Is Gulf Island's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gulf Island. If investors know Gulf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gulf Island listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.25 | Earnings Share (1.18) | Revenue Per Share 8.11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) | Return On Assets (0.12) |
The market value of Gulf Island Fabrication is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gulf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gulf Island's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gulf Island's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gulf Island's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gulf Island's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gulf Island's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gulf Island is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gulf Island's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Gulf Island 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gulf Island's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gulf Island.
| 04/21/2024 |
| 05/21/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Gulf Island on April 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gulf Island Fabrication or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gulf Island over 30 days. Gulf Island is related to or competes with Haynes International, Insteel Industries, Mayville Engineering, ESAB Corp, Northwest Pipe, Carpenter Technology, and Mueller Industries. Gulf Island Fabrication, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a fabricator of steel structures and modules ... More
Gulf Island Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gulf Island's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gulf Island Fabrication upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1254 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 36.84 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.45) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.79 |
Gulf Island Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gulf Island's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gulf Island's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gulf Island historical prices to predict the future Gulf Island's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0904 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5668 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0994 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1677 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5693 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gulf Island's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gulf Island Fabrication Backtested Returns
Gulf Island appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Gulf Island Fabrication holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Gulf Island's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.73% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Gulf Island's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.5793, downside deviation of 3.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0904 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Gulf Island holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.13, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Gulf Island returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Gulf Island is expected to follow. Please check Gulf Island's total risk alpha, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Gulf Island's current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.6 |
Good reverse predictability
Gulf Island Fabrication has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gulf Island time series from 21st of April 2024 to 6th of May 2024 and 6th of May 2024 to 21st of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gulf Island Fabrication price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Gulf Island price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.6 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Gulf Island Fabrication lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Gulf Island stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gulf Island's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gulf Island returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gulf Island has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Gulf Island regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gulf Island stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gulf Island stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gulf Island stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Gulf Island Lagged Returns
When evaluating Gulf Island's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gulf Island stock have on its future price. Gulf Island autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gulf Island autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gulf Island stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gulf Island Fabrication.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| VWITX | Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt | |
| VGSTX | Vanguard Star Fund | |
| VFIAX | Vanguard 500 Index | |
| VTCLX | Vanguard Tax Managed Capital | |
| VTSAX | Vanguard Total Stock |
Check out Gulf Island Correlation, Gulf Island Volatility and Gulf Island Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gulf Island. Note that the Gulf Island Fabrication information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gulf Island's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Gulf Stock analysis
When running Gulf Island's price analysis, check to measure Gulf Island's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulf Island is operating at the current time. Most of Gulf Island's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulf Island's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulf Island's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulf Island to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Gulf Island technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.