Trump Media Technology Stock Market Value

DJT Stock   50.99  3.40  6.25%   
Trump Media's market value is the price at which a share of Trump Media trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Trump Media Technology investors about its performance. Trump Media is selling for under 50.99 as of the 11th of May 2024; that is -6.25% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 50.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Trump Media Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Trump Media over a given investment horizon. Check out Trump Media Correlation, Trump Media Volatility and Trump Media Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Trump Media.
Symbol

Trump Media Technology Price To Book Ratio

Is Trump Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trump Media. If investors know Trump will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trump Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.041
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.39)
Return On Assets
(1.37)
The market value of Trump Media Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trump that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trump Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trump Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trump Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trump Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trump Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trump Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trump Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Trump Media 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Trump Media's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Trump Media.
0.00
02/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
05/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Trump Media on February 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Trump Media Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Trump Media over 90 days. Trump Media is related to or competes with Zillow Group, Outbrain, TuanChe ADR, Weibo Corp, YY, Zillow, and Zhihu. Trump Media is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NASDAQ exchange. More

Trump Media Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Trump Media's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Trump Media Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Trump Media Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trump Media's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Trump Media's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Trump Media historical prices to predict the future Trump Media's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trump Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.6645.1455.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.4138.8956.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trump Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trump Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trump Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Trump Media Technology.

Trump Media Technology Backtested Returns

Trump Media appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Trump Media Technology owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0675, which indicates the firm had a 0.0675% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Trump Media's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.71% is justified by implied risk. Please review Trump Media's Semi Deviation of 8.13, coefficient of variation of 1333.7, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0557 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Trump Media holds a performance score of 5. The entity has a beta of 1.25, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Trump Media will likely underperform. Please check Trump Media's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Trump Media's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

Trump Media Technology has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Trump Media time series from 11th of February 2024 to 27th of March 2024 and 27th of March 2024 to 11th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Trump Media Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Trump Media price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance98.49

Trump Media Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Trump Media stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Trump Media's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Trump Media returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Trump Media has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Trump Media regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Trump Media stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Trump Media stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Trump Media stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Trump Media Lagged Returns

When evaluating Trump Media's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Trump Media stock have on its future price. Trump Media autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Trump Media autocorrelation shows the relationship between Trump Media stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Trump Media Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Trump Media

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Trump Media position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Trump Media will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Trump Media could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Trump Media when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Trump Media - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Trump Media Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Trump Media is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Trump Media moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Trump Media Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Trump Media can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Trump Media Technology is a strong investment it is important to analyze Trump Media's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Trump Media's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Trump Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trump Media Correlation, Trump Media Volatility and Trump Media Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Trump Media.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for Trump Stock analysis

When running Trump Media's price analysis, check to measure Trump Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trump Media is operating at the current time. Most of Trump Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trump Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trump Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trump Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Trump Media technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Trump Media technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Trump Media trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...