Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock Market Value

BAFN Stock  USD 11.50  0.12  1.05%   
Bayfirst Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Bayfirst Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bayfirst Financial Corp investors about its performance. Bayfirst Financial is selling at 11.50 as of the 4th of June 2024; that is 1.05 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 11.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bayfirst Financial Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bayfirst Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Bayfirst Financial Correlation, Bayfirst Financial Volatility and Bayfirst Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bayfirst Financial.
Symbol

Bayfirst Financial Corp Price To Book Ratio

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bayfirst Financial. If investors know Bayfirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bayfirst Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Dividend Share
0.32
Earnings Share
1.19
Revenue Per Share
19.166
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.145
The market value of Bayfirst Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bayfirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bayfirst Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bayfirst Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bayfirst Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bayfirst Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bayfirst Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bayfirst Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bayfirst Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bayfirst Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bayfirst Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bayfirst Financial.
0.00
04/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
06/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bayfirst Financial on April 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bayfirst Financial Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bayfirst Financial over 60 days. Bayfirst Financial is related to or competes with Cullman Bancorp, Home Federal, HMN Financial, LINKBANCORP, Affinity Bancshares, BayCom Corp, and Community West. BayFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for First Home Bank that provides commercial and consumer ... More

Bayfirst Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bayfirst Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bayfirst Financial Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bayfirst Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bayfirst Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bayfirst Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bayfirst Financial historical prices to predict the future Bayfirst Financial's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bayfirst Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9411.4914.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.239.7812.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.3210.8713.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1712.2613.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bayfirst Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bayfirst Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bayfirst Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bayfirst Financial Corp.

Bayfirst Financial Corp Backtested Returns

We consider Bayfirst Financial somewhat reliable. Bayfirst Financial Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.03, which signifies that the company had a 0.03% return per unit of risk over the last 6 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Bayfirst Financial Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bayfirst Financial's Downside Deviation of 2.72, risk adjusted performance of 0.033, and Mean Deviation of 1.64 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0764%. Bayfirst Financial has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.084, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Bayfirst Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bayfirst Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Bayfirst Financial Corp right now shows a risk of 2.55%. Please confirm Bayfirst Financial Corp skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Bayfirst Financial Corp will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Bayfirst Financial Corp has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bayfirst Financial time series from 5th of April 2024 to 5th of May 2024 and 5th of May 2024 to 4th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bayfirst Financial Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Bayfirst Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.3

Bayfirst Financial Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bayfirst Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bayfirst Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bayfirst Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bayfirst Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bayfirst Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bayfirst Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bayfirst Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bayfirst Financial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bayfirst Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bayfirst Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bayfirst Financial stock have on its future price. Bayfirst Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bayfirst Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bayfirst Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bayfirst Financial Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Bayfirst Stock

When determining whether Bayfirst Financial Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bayfirst Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock:
Check out Bayfirst Financial Correlation, Bayfirst Financial Volatility and Bayfirst Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bayfirst Financial.
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Bayfirst Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bayfirst Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bayfirst Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...