American Public Education Stock Market Value
| APEI Stock | USD 18.09 0.30 1.63% |
| Symbol | American |
American Public Education Price To Book Ratio
Is American Public's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Public. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Public listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share (2.62) | Revenue Per Share 34.112 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0336 |
The market value of American Public Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Public's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Public's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Public's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Public's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Public is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
American Public 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Public's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Public.
| 04/21/2024 |
| 05/21/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Public on April 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Public Education or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Public over 30 days. American Public is related to or competes with Laureate Education, Afya, Strategic Education, Stride, Lincoln Educational, Adtalem Global, and Grand Canyon. American Public Education, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and campus-based postsecondary educatio... More
American Public Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Public's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Public Education upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.69 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1341 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 49.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.03 |
American Public Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Public's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Public's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Public historical prices to predict the future American Public's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0932 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7286 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1638 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2243 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3658 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Public Education Backtested Returns
American Public appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. American Public Education secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing American Public's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.89% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of American Public's mean deviation of 3.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0932 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, American Public holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.45, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Public will likely underperform. Please check American Public's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether American Public's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.53 |
Modest predictability
American Public Education has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Public time series from 21st of April 2024 to 6th of May 2024 and 6th of May 2024 to 21st of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Public Education price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current American Public price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.42 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.32 |
American Public Education lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is American Public stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Public's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Public returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Public has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
American Public regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Public stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Public stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Public stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
American Public Lagged Returns
When evaluating American Public's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Public stock have on its future price. American Public autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Public autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Public stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Public Education.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out American Public Correlation, American Public Volatility and American Public Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Public. Note that the American Public Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Public's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
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When running American Public's price analysis, check to measure American Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Public is operating at the current time. Most of American Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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American Public technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.