Eastern Media (Taiwan) Market Value

2614 Stock  TWD 20.30  0.05  0.25%   
Eastern Media's market value is the price at which a share of Eastern Media trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Eastern Media International investors about its performance. Eastern Media is selling for under 20.30 as of the 4th of June 2024; that is -0.25 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 20.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Eastern Media International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eastern Media over a given investment horizon. Check out Eastern Media Correlation, Eastern Media Volatility and Eastern Media Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Eastern Media.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Eastern Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eastern Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eastern Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eastern Media 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eastern Media's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eastern Media.
0.00
05/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
06/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eastern Media on May 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eastern Media International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eastern Media over 30 days. Eastern Media is related to or competes with GenMont Biotech, Min Aik, Promise Technology, and Chainqui Construction. Eastern Media International Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides loading and unloading of grains and si... More

Eastern Media Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eastern Media's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eastern Media International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Eastern Media Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eastern Media's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eastern Media's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eastern Media historical prices to predict the future Eastern Media's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eastern Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2620.3021.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7516.7922.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4520.4921.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.1219.9420.76
Details

Eastern Media Intern Backtested Returns

We consider Eastern Media very steady. Eastern Media Intern secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0246, which denotes the company had a 0.0246% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Eastern Media International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Eastern Media's Downside Deviation of 1.11, mean deviation of 0.7189, and Coefficient Of Variation of 11555.47 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0256%. Eastern Media has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.18, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Eastern Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Eastern Media is likely to outperform the market. Eastern Media Intern right now shows a risk of 1.04%. Please confirm Eastern Media Intern jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Eastern Media Intern will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Eastern Media International has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eastern Media time series from 5th of May 2024 to 20th of May 2024 and 20th of May 2024 to 4th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eastern Media Intern price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Eastern Media price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

Eastern Media Intern lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Eastern Media stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eastern Media's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eastern Media returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eastern Media has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Eastern Media regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eastern Media stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eastern Media stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eastern Media stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Eastern Media Lagged Returns

When evaluating Eastern Media's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eastern Media stock have on its future price. Eastern Media autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eastern Media autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eastern Media stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eastern Media International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Eastern Stock Analysis

When running Eastern Media's price analysis, check to measure Eastern Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eastern Media is operating at the current time. Most of Eastern Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eastern Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eastern Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eastern Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.