Nio Stock Forecast - Expected Short fall
| NIO Stock | USD 3.89 0.22 5.35% |
Nio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nio stock prices and determine the direction of Nio Class A's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Nio's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nio's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nio fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nio to cross-verify your projections. Nio |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Nio Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nio's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nio's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nio stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nio's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nio's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nio is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nio. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Nio cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Nio's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Nio's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Nio Volatility | Backtest Nio | Information Ratio |
Nio Trading Date Momentum
| On April 15 2024 Nio Class A was traded for 3.89 at the closing time. Highest Nio's price during the trading hours was 4.19 and the lowest price during the day was 3.82 . The net volume was 70.3 M. The overall trading history on the 15th of April 2024 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 5.66% . |
| Compare Nio to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Nio
For every potential investor in Nio, whether a beginner or expert, Nio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nio Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nio's price trends.Nio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nio Class A Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nio's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nio Class A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.87 | |||
| Variance | 14.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nio to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Nio Stock analysis
When running Nio's price analysis, check to measure Nio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nio is operating at the current time. Most of Nio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio. If investors know Nio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.72) | Revenue Per Share 32.713 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.065 | Return On Assets (0.13) | Return On Equity (0.73) |
The market value of Nio Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.