Loews Corp Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

L Stock  USD 78.29  0.19  0.24%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Loews Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 78.34 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.47  and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.53. Loews Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Loews Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Loews Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Loews Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Loews Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Loews Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Loews Corp fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loews Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Loews Stock please use our How to buy in Loews Stock guide.
  
Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 0.29 this year, although the value of Fixed Asset Turnover will most likely fall to 1.39. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 216.4 M. The value of Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to slide to about 833 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Loews Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Loews Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Loews Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Loews Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Loews Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Loews Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Loews Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Loews. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Loews Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Loews Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Loews Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Loews Corp polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Loews Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Loews Corp Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Loews Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 78.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Loews Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Loews Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Loews Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Loews Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Loews Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Loews Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.61 and 79.07, respectively. We have considered Loews Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
78.29
78.34
Expected Value
79.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Loews Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Loews Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9408
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4677
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0063
SAESum of the absolute errors28.5297
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Loews Corp historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Loews Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loews Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loews Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.5078.2378.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.1074.8385.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
76.2377.3378.42
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
54.6060.0066.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Loews Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Loews Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Loews Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Loews Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Loews Corp

For every potential investor in Loews, whether a beginner or expert, Loews Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Loews Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Loews. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Loews Corp's price trends.

Loews Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Loews Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Loews Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Loews Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Loews Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Loews Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Loews Corp's current price.

Loews Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Loews Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Loews Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Loews Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Loews Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Loews Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Loews Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Loews Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loews stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Loews Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Loews Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Loews Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Loews Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loews Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Loews Stock please use our How to buy in Loews Stock guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Loews Corp's price analysis, check to measure Loews Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Loews Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Loews Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Loews Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Loews Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Loews Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Loews Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Loews Corp. If investors know Loews will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Loews Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.334
Dividend Share
0.25
Earnings Share
6.29
Revenue Per Share
69.901
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.123
The market value of Loews Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Loews that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Loews Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Loews Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Loews Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Loews Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Loews Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Loews Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Loews Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.