Interactive Brokers Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IBKR Stock  USD 111.43  1.19  1.08%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interactive Brokers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 111.43 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.10  and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.21. Interactive Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Interactive Brokers stock prices and determine the direction of Interactive Brokers Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Interactive Brokers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Interactive Brokers' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Interactive Brokers' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Interactive Brokers fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Interactive Brokers to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, Interactive Brokers' Fixed Asset Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/28/2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 0.22, though Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (0.41). . As of 03/28/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 147.7 M. Also, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 359.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Interactive Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Interactive Brokers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Interactive Brokers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Interactive Brokers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Interactive Brokers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Interactive Brokers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Interactive Brokers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Interactive. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Interactive Brokers cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Interactive Brokers' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Interactive Brokers' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Interactive Brokers simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Interactive Brokers Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Interactive Brokers prices get older.

Interactive Brokers Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interactive Brokers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 111.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10, mean absolute percentage error of 2.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Interactive Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Interactive Brokers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Interactive Brokers Stock Forecast Pattern

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Interactive Brokers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Interactive Brokers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Interactive Brokers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 110.01 and 112.85, respectively. We have considered Interactive Brokers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
111.43
110.01
Downside
111.43
Expected Value
112.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Interactive Brokers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Interactive Brokers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.8153
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.469
MADMean absolute deviation1.1018
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors67.21
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Interactive Brokers Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Interactive Brokers observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Interactive Brokers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interactive Brokers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Interactive Brokers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.01111.43112.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.29123.05124.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
108.38110.26112.15
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
98.05107.75119.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Interactive Brokers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Interactive Brokers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Interactive Brokers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Interactive Brokers.

Other Forecasting Options for Interactive Brokers

For every potential investor in Interactive, whether a beginner or expert, Interactive Brokers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Interactive Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Interactive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Interactive Brokers' price trends.

Interactive Brokers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Interactive Brokers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Interactive Brokers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Interactive Brokers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Interactive Brokers Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Interactive Brokers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Interactive Brokers' current price.

Interactive Brokers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Interactive Brokers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Interactive Brokers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Interactive Brokers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Interactive Brokers Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Interactive Brokers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Interactive Brokers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Interactive Brokers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interactive stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Interactive Brokers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Interactive Brokers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Interactive Brokers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Interactive Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running Interactive Brokers' price analysis, check to measure Interactive Brokers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Interactive Brokers is operating at the current time. Most of Interactive Brokers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Interactive Brokers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Interactive Brokers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Interactive Brokers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Interactive Brokers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Interactive Brokers. If investors know Interactive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Interactive Brokers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.13
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
2.837
Revenue Per Share
42.109
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.19
The market value of Interactive Brokers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Interactive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Interactive Brokers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Interactive Brokers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Interactive Brokers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Interactive Brokers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Interactive Brokers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Interactive Brokers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Interactive Brokers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.