Fair Isaac Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| FICO Stock | USD 1,162 8.97 0.78% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fair Isaac on the next trading day is expected to be 1,162 with a mean absolute deviation of 21.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,295. Fair Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fair Isaac stock prices and determine the direction of Fair Isaac's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fair Isaac's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Fair Isaac's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fair Isaac's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fair Isaac fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fair Isaac to cross-verify your projections. Fair |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Fair Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fair Isaac's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fair Isaac's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fair Isaac stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fair Isaac's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fair Isaac's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fair Isaac is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fair. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Fair Isaac cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fair Isaac's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fair Isaac's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Fair Isaac is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Fair Isaac Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fair Isaac on the next trading day is expected to be 1,162 with a mean absolute deviation of 21.96, mean absolute percentage error of 828.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,295.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fair Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fair Isaac's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fair Isaac Stock Forecast Pattern
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Fair Isaac Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fair Isaac's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fair Isaac's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,160 and 1,164, respectively. We have considered Fair Isaac's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fair Isaac stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fair Isaac stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1542 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 3.0283 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 21.9571 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0176 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1295.47 |
Predictive Modules for Fair Isaac
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fair Isaac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fair Isaac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Fair Isaac
For every potential investor in Fair, whether a beginner or expert, Fair Isaac's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fair Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fair. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fair Isaac's price trends.View Fair Isaac Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fair Isaac Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fair Isaac's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fair Isaac's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fair Isaac Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fair Isaac stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fair Isaac shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fair Isaac stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fair Isaac entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0465 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1604 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1175.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1170.77 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 55.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (8.29) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 8.97 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.38 |
Fair Isaac Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fair Isaac's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fair Isaac's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fair stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Fair Isaac Investors Sentiment
The influence of Fair Isaac's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Fair. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Fair Isaac's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fair. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fair can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fair Isaac. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Fair Isaac's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Fair Isaac's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Fair Isaac's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Fair Isaac.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fair Isaac in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fair Isaac's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fair Isaac options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fair Isaac to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Fair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fair Isaac guide.Note that the Fair Isaac information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fair Isaac's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Fair Stock analysis
When running Fair Isaac's price analysis, check to measure Fair Isaac's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fair Isaac is operating at the current time. Most of Fair Isaac's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fair Isaac's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fair Isaac's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fair Isaac to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fair Isaac's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fair Isaac. If investors know Fair will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fair Isaac listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Earnings Share 17.9 | Revenue Per Share 62.24 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.108 | Return On Assets 0.2678 |
The market value of Fair Isaac is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fair that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fair Isaac's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fair Isaac's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fair Isaac's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fair Isaac's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fair Isaac's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fair Isaac is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fair Isaac's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.