Dreyfusstandish Global Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

DHGCX Fund  USD 19.12  0.04  0.21%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dreyfusstandish Global Fixed on the next trading day is expected to be 19.12 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.05  and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.99. Dreyfusstandish Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dreyfusstandish Global stock prices and determine the direction of Dreyfusstandish Global Fixed's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dreyfusstandish Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dreyfusstandish Global to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Dreyfusstandish Global cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Dreyfusstandish Global's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Dreyfusstandish Global's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Dreyfusstandish Global polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Dreyfusstandish Global Fixed as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Dreyfusstandish Global Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dreyfusstandish Global Fixed on the next trading day is expected to be 19.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dreyfusstandish Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dreyfusstandish Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dreyfusstandish Global Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dreyfusstandish GlobalDreyfusstandish Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dreyfusstandish Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dreyfusstandish Global's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dreyfusstandish Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.91 and 19.33, respectively. We have considered Dreyfusstandish Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.12
19.12
Expected Value
19.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dreyfusstandish Global mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dreyfusstandish Global mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.5264
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.049
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0026
SAESum of the absolute errors2.986
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Dreyfusstandish Global historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Dreyfusstandish Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dreyfusstandish Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dreyfusstandish Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9119.1219.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8819.0919.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.8719.0319.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dreyfusstandish Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dreyfusstandish Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dreyfusstandish Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dreyfusstandish Global.

Other Forecasting Options for Dreyfusstandish Global

For every potential investor in Dreyfusstandish, whether a beginner or expert, Dreyfusstandish Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dreyfusstandish Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dreyfusstandish. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dreyfusstandish Global's price trends.

Dreyfusstandish Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dreyfusstandish Global mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dreyfusstandish Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dreyfusstandish Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dreyfusstandish Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dreyfusstandish Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dreyfusstandish Global's current price.

Dreyfusstandish Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dreyfusstandish Global mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dreyfusstandish Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dreyfusstandish Global mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Dreyfusstandish Global Fixed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dreyfusstandish Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dreyfusstandish Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dreyfusstandish Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dreyfusstandish mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dreyfusstandish Global in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dreyfusstandish Global's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dreyfusstandish Global options trading.

Pair Trading with Dreyfusstandish Global

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dreyfusstandish Global position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dreyfusstandish Global will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Dreyfusstandish Mutual Fund

  0.89DHGAX Dreyfusstandish GlobalPairCorr
  0.65DLDCX Dreyfus Natural ResourcesPairCorr
  0.66VTIBX Vanguard Total InterPairCorr
  0.69VTIFX Vanguard Total InterPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dreyfusstandish Global could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dreyfusstandish Global when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dreyfusstandish Global - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dreyfusstandish Global Fixed to buy it.
The correlation of Dreyfusstandish Global is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dreyfusstandish Global moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dreyfusstandish Global moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dreyfusstandish Global can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dreyfusstandish Global to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Dreyfusstandish Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dreyfusstandish Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfusstandish Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfusstandish Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfusstandish Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.