A10 Networks 4 Period Moving Average

ATEN -- USA Stock  

USD 7.74  0.04  0.51%

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast A10 Networks historic prices and determine the direction of A10 Networks future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of A10 Networks historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of A10 Networks systematic risks associated with finding meaningful patterns of A10 Networks fundamentals over time. Check also Historical Fundamental Analysis of A10 Networks to cross-verify your projections.
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A four-period moving average forecast model for A10 Networks is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of A10 Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 7.75

A10 Networks Prediction Pattern

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A10 Networks Forecasted Value

September 17, 2019
7.74
Market Value
7.75
Expected Value
13.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria109.4219
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.044
MADMean absolute deviation0.144
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0197
SAESum of the absolute errors8.3525
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of A10 Networks. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for A10 Networks and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Volatility Measures

A10 Networks Risk Indicators

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