# American Airlines Polynomial Regression

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast American Airlines historic prices and determine the direction of American Airlines Group Inc future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of American Airlines historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of American Airlines Group Inc systematic risks associated with finding meaningful patterns of American Airlines fundamentals over time. Check also Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Airlines to cross-verify your projections.
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American Airlines polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for American Airlines Group Inc as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of American Airlines Group Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 46.73

## American Airlines Group Prediction Pattern

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## American Airlines Forecasted Value

April 27, 2017
46.4
Market Value
46.73
Target Price Odds
 Above Below
51.63
Upside

## Model Predictive Factors

 AIC Akaike Information Criteria 45.0592 Bias Arithmetic mean of the errors None MAD Mean absolute deviation 0.4326 MAPE Mean absolute percentage error 0.01 SAE Sum of the absolute errors 9.5183
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the American Airlines historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the airline industry. more
 Name American Airlines Group Inc Instrument USA Stock Region North America Exchange NASDAQ CIK Number 00006201.0 ISIN US02376R1023 CUSIP 02376R102,001765106 Analyst Consensus Piotroski F Score Macroaxis Advice
 Fundamentals Check Z Score View Details

## Technical Indicators

American Airlines Technical and Predictive Analytics
 Cycle Indicators Math Operators Math Transform Momentum Indicators Overlap Studies Pattern Recognition Price Transform Statistic Functions Volatility Indicators Volume Indicators

## Market Strength

All American Airlines Market Strength Events

## Volatility Measures

American Airlines Risk Indicators
 Mean Deviation 1.24 Semi Deviation 1.12 Standard Deviation 1.63 Variance 2.66 Downside Variance 3.24 Semi Variance 1.25 Expected Short fall (1.40)