The case for UMB Financial to recoup in July?

In this write-up I will digest UMB Financial. I will look into why despite ongoing dip, the longer-term fundamental drivers of the firm are still sound. UMB Financial ignores market trends. The returns on investing in UMB Financial and the market returns of the last few months appear uncorrelated. The appearance of sound fundamental drivers of the firm indicates shorter-term price swing for shareholders of the firm. We found thirty-two available financial indicators for UMB Financial which can be compared to its peers in the sector. To make sure the equity is not overpriced, please validate all UMB Financial Corporation fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Revenue, Debt to Equity, as well as the relationship between Price to Earning and Cash and Equivalents . Given that UMB Financial has Number of Shares Shorted of 1.74M, we advise you double-check UMB Financial latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself next year. Use UMB Financial to protect your portfolios against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of UMB Financial to be traded at $61.32 in 30 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

The company average rating is Hold from 7 analysts. As of 10 of June UMB Financial owns Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.01. In relation to Fundamental Indicators, Macroaxis technical analysis interface makes it possible for you to check practical technical drivers of UMB Financial as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume patterns or the prices will eventually revert. We found nineteen technical drivers for UMB Financial which can be compared to its peers in the sector. Please validate UMB Financial Coefficient Of Variation, Maximum Drawdown, Skewness, as well as the relationship between Information Ratio and Downside Variance to decide if UMB Financial Corporation is priced more or less accurately providing market reflects its prevailing price of 62.57 per share. Given that UMB Financial has Jensen Alpha of 0.0, we advise you double-check UMB Financial latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at some point future time.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UMB Financial. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing UMB Financial stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build UMB Financial's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of UMB Financial's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for UMB Financial, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect UMB Financial price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of UMB Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UMB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UMB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UMB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UMB Financial.

How does UMB Stands against Peers?

Analyzing UMB Financial competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to UMB Financial across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out UMB Financial Competition Details

UMB Financial Gross Profit

UMB Financial Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing UMB Financial previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show UMB Financial Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check UMB Financial's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Breaking down UMB Financial Further

UMB Financial Corporation price decrease over the last few months has created some momentum for investors as it was traded today as low as 62.05 and as high as 62.85 per share. The company management were not very successful in positioning the company components to exploit market volatility in May. However, diversifying your holdings with UMB Financial or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.7281. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. UMB Financial is selling at 62.57. That is 0.68% down. Opened at 62.57. UMB Financial Revenues is increasing over the last 4 years. The ongoing value of UMB Financial Revenues is 956,850,000. Also, UMB Financial Enterprise Value over EBIT is increasing over the last 4 years. The previous year value of UMB Financial Enterprise Value over EBIT was 24.81.
 2008 2009 2018 2019 (projected)
UMB Financial Net Income 58,879,000  158,801,000  142,920,900  196,470,000 
UMB Financial Gross Profit 427,093,000  938,898,000  845,008,200  941,390,000 
The bottom line, our ongoing buy vs hold vs sell advice on the firm is Strong Hold. We believe UMB Financial is undervalued with close to average odds of financial turmoil for the next two years.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of UMB Financial. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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