| Net Income | Gross Profit | ||
| 2008 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2009 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2018 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2019 (projected) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
UMB Financial price ascent is confusing
 | By Rifka Kats | Macroaxis Story |
UMB Financial is at this time traded for65.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.01. The firm is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 65.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 139.5%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.23% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on UMB Financial is about 4272.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 65.04. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. This firm dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. UMB Financial one year expected dividend income is about $0.55 per share.
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin
UMB Financial has performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity owns Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.384 which indicates as market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, UMB Financial will likely underperform. Although it is extremely important to respect UMB Financial existing price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity price patterns. The approach towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting UMB Financial technical indicators you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.1334% will be sustainable into the future. UMB Financial currently owns a risk of 1.661%. Please validate UMB Financial Corporation Coefficient Of Variation, Maximum Drawdown, Skewness, as well as the relationship between Total Risk Alpha and Downside Variance to decide if UMB Financial Corporation will be following its current price history. The successful prediction of UMB Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as UMB Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UMB Financial based on UMB Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to UMB Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to UMB Financial's related companies.
A focus of UMB Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of UMB Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
Use Technical Analysis to project UMB expected Price
UMB Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
UMB Financial Gross Profit
UMB Financial Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing UMB Financial previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show UMB Financial Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check UMB Financial's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.
Breaking down UMB Financial Further
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 3.26B. The modest gains experienced by current holders of UMB Financial has created some momentum for investors as it was traded today as low as 64.68 and as high as 65.5 per share. The company executives have been quite successful with maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in April. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.661. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. UMB Financial discloses 1.74m in number of shares shorted. UMB Financial is trading at 65.05 which is 0.32% increase. Today highest was 65.5. UMB Financial Weighted Average Shares is increasing over the last 4 years. The previous year value of UMB Financial Weighted Average Shares was 49,070,000. Further, UMB Financial Total Debt is increasing over the last 4 years.
On the whole, we believe that at this point UMB Financial is very steady with below average odds of financial distress within the next 2 years. Our current buy vs hold vs sell advice on the firm is Buy.
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