United Parcel Service Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

UPS Stock  USD 148.63  1.30  0.88%   
United Parcel's odds of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial straits in the near future. United Parcel's Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting United Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the United balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out United Parcel Piotroski F Score and United Parcel Altman Z Score analysis.
  

United Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

United Parcel's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current United Parcel Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 6%  
Most of United Parcel's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, United Parcel Service is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of United Parcel probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting United Parcel odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of United Parcel Service financial health.
Is United Parcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Parcel. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Parcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.53)
Dividend Share
6.48
Earnings Share
7.79
Revenue Per Share
105.888
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of United Parcel Service is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Parcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Parcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Parcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Parcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Parcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Parcel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Parcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

United Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for United Parcel is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of United Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since United Parcel's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of United Parcel's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of United Parcel's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, United Parcel Service has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 85.91% lower than that of the Air Freight & Logistics sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

United Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses United Parcel's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of United Parcel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Parcel by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
United Parcel is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

United Parcel Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.07670.02150.190.160.09470.077
Net Debt16.6B21.8B15.3B17.9B23.5B24.7B
Total Current Liabilities15.4B17.0B17.6B18.1B17.7B10.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total39.2B44.7B37.6B33.2B35.9B23.4B
Total Assets57.9B62.5B69.4B71.1B70.9B43.6B
Total Current Assets17.1B20.3B24.9B22.2B19.4B14.4B
Total Cash From Operating Activities8.6B10.5B15.0B14.1B10.2B7.2B

United Parcel ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, United Parcel's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to United Parcel's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

United Fundamentals

About United Parcel Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze United Parcel Service's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of United Parcel using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Parcel Service based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, transportation, logistics, and related services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. United Parcel operates under Integrated Freight Logistics classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 500000 people.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether United Parcel Service is a strong investment it is important to analyze United Parcel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact United Parcel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding United Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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Is United Parcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Parcel. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Parcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.53)
Dividend Share
6.48
Earnings Share
7.79
Revenue Per Share
105.888
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of United Parcel Service is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Parcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Parcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Parcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Parcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Parcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Parcel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Parcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.