Tesla Inc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

TSLA Stock  USD 175.79  4.04  2.25%   
Tesla's odds of distress is below 2% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial crisis in the next two years. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Tesla balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Tesla Piotroski F Score and Tesla Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Tesla Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Tesla's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Interest Expense371M191M156M242.4M
Depreciation And Amortization2.9B4.2B4.7B4.9B

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Tesla Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 2%  
Most of Tesla's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Tesla Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Tesla probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Tesla odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Tesla Inc financial health.
Is Tesla's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tesla. If investors know Tesla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tesla listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.115
Earnings Share
4.3
Revenue Per Share
30.489
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.035
Return On Assets
0.0588
The market value of Tesla Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tesla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tesla's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tesla's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tesla's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tesla's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tesla's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tesla is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tesla's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tesla Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Tesla is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Tesla Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Tesla's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Tesla's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Tesla's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Tesla Inc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 2.0%. This is 95.17% lower than that of the Automobiles sector and 95.63% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 94.98% higher than that of the company.

Tesla Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Tesla's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Tesla could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tesla by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Tesla is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Tesla Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.0328)(0.0226)0.01380.08890.150.14
Net Debt7.2B(7.6B)(8.7B)(13.2B)(11.2B)(10.6B)
Total Current Liabilities10.7B14.2B19.7B26.7B28.7B30.2B
Non Current Liabilities Total15.5B14.2B11.4B9.7B14.3B7.6B
Total Assets34.3B52.1B62.1B82.3B106.6B111.9B
Total Current Assets12.1B26.7B27.1B40.9B49.6B52.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.4B5.9B11.5B14.7B13.3B13.9B

Tesla ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Tesla's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Tesla's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Tesla Fundamentals

About Tesla Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Tesla Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Tesla using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tesla Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Tesla operates under Auto Manufacturers classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 99290 people.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Tesla Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tesla's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tesla Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tesla Inc Stock:
Check out Tesla Piotroski F Score and Tesla Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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Is Tesla's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tesla. If investors know Tesla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tesla listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.115
Earnings Share
4.3
Revenue Per Share
30.489
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.035
Return On Assets
0.0588
The market value of Tesla Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tesla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tesla's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tesla's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tesla's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tesla's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tesla's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tesla is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tesla's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.