J M Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
J M 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
33 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, RND expenses, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

J M Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

  Of Bankruptcy 
Benchmark  Embed   J M Comparables 
Based on latest financial disclosure The J M Smucker Company has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 33.0%. This is 7.87% lower than that of the Consumer Goods sector, and 4.57% lower than that of Processed and Packaged Goods industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is 14.31% higher than the company.
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Found 8 equities by Probability Of Bankruptcy
GIS NYQGeneral Mills Inc
39 %
K NYQKellogg Company
39 %
CPB NYQCampbell Soup Company
22 %
CAG NYQConAgra Foods Inc
32 %
SJM NYQThe J M Smucker Company
33 %
MJN NYQMead Johnson Nutrition Company
30 %
MKC NYQMcCormick Company Incorporated
15 %
INGR NYQIngredion Incorporated
21 %
You can backtest this sub-set of assets as a synthetic portfolio or check its risk adjusted returns  
Peer Comparison
J M Probability Of Bankruptcy Comparison
  Probability Of Bankruptcy 
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J M is currently regarded as top stock in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
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Return On Equity10.04 %
Return On Asset4.88 %
Profit Margin9.63 %
Operating Margin17.01 %
Current Valuation20.48 B
Shares Outstanding116.43 M
Shares Owned by Insiders7.33 %
Shares Owned by Institutions64.60 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.27 M
Price to Earning21.36 times
Price to Book2.12 times
Price to Sales2.02 times
Revenue7.51 B
Gross Profit2.97 B
EBITDA1.69 B
Net Income720.4 M
Cash and Equivalents121.8 M
Cash per Share1.05 times
Total Debt5.35 B
Debt to Equity0.75 times
Current Ratio1.38 times
Book Value Per Share61.67 times
Cash Flow from Operations1.25 B
Short Ratio6.62 times
One Year High157.31
One Year Low117.36
Earnings Per Share6.13 times
Price to Earnings To Growth3.45 times
Number of Employees6.91 K
Beta0.49
Market Capitalization15.25 B
Total Asset16.06 B
Retained Earnings1.43 B
Working Capital498.9 M
Current Asset1.81 B
Current Liabilities1.31 B
Z Score1.2