J M Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
J M 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
1 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, RND expenses, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

J M Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

Margin
J M Margin Growth Rates
Operating Margin
EBITDA Margin
Gross Margin
Based on latest financial disclosure The J M Smucker Company has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is much higher than that of the Consumer sector, and significantly higher than that of Food Manufacturers industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is over 1000% lower than the firm.
Peer Comparison
J M Probability Of Bankruptcy Comparison
  Probability Of Bankruptcy 
Benchmark  Embed    J M Comparables 
J M is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
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Return On Equity0.10 %
Return On Asset0.05 %
Profit Margin0.10 %
Operating Margin17.01 %
Current Valuation1.79 B
Shares Outstanding49.77 M
Shares Owned by Insiders7.33 %
Shares Owned by Institutions64.60 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.27 M
Price to Earning21.36 times
Price to Book2.12 times
Price to Sales2.02 times
Revenue1.27 B
Gross Profit447.3 M
EBITDA1.66 B
Net Income96.34 M
Cash and Equivalents181.22 M
Cash per Share1.05 times
Total Debt135 M
Debt to Equity0.75 times
Current Ratio1.38 times
Book Value Per Share58.56 times
Cash Flow from Operations174.81 M
Short Ratio6.62 times
Earnings Per Share6.13 times
Price to Earnings To Growth3.45 times
Number of Employees6.91 K
Beta0.49
Market Capitalization1.81 B
Total Asset1.62 B
Retained Earnings1.27 B
Working Capital299.39 M
Current Asset466.66 M
Current Liabilities167.27 M
Z Score11.1