Oracle Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ORCL Stock  USD 125.27  1.20  0.95%   
Oracle's threat of distress is under 24% at the moment. It has slight chance of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Oracle's Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Oracle Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Oracle balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Oracle Piotroski F Score and Oracle Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.
  

Oracle Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Oracle's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Oracle Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 24%  
Most of Oracle's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Oracle is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Oracle probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Oracle odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Oracle financial health.
Is Oracle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. If investors know Oracle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.25
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
3.79
Revenue Per Share
19.215
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
The market value of Oracle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oracle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oracle Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Oracle is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Oracle Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Oracle's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Oracle's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Oracle's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Oracle has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 24.0%. This is 40.68% lower than that of the Software sector and significantly higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 39.74% higher than that of the company.

Oracle Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Oracle's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Oracle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oracle by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Oracle is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Oracle ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Oracle's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Oracle's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Oracle Fundamentals

About Oracle Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Oracle's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Oracle using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oracle based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Oracle Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Oracle operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 143000 people.

Oracle Investors Sentiment

The influence of Oracle's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Oracle. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Oracle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Oracle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Oracle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Oracle. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Oracle's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Oracle's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Oracle's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Oracle.

Oracle Implied Volatility

    
  27.71  
Oracle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oracle stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oracle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oracle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oracle's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oracle in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oracle's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oracle options trading.

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When determining whether Oracle is a strong investment it is important to analyze Oracle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Oracle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Oracle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Oracle Piotroski F Score and Oracle Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Oracle Stock please use our How to buy in Oracle Stock guide.
Note that the Oracle information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oracle's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Oracle Stock analysis

When running Oracle's price analysis, check to measure Oracle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oracle is operating at the current time. Most of Oracle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oracle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oracle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oracle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Oracle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. If investors know Oracle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.25
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
3.79
Revenue Per Share
19.215
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
The market value of Oracle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oracle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.