Vail Resorts Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Name: Vail Resorts Next Financial Report
Start: 2024-06-13
End: 2024-06-13
Location: Vail Resorts

MTN Stock

USD 204.75 2.10 1.04%

Vail Resorts' threat of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny chance of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Vail balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Vail Resorts Piotroski F Score and Vail Resorts Altman Z Score analysis.

To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.

As of the 23rd of April 2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 2 B, while Enterprise Value is likely to drop about 1.1 B.

Vail Resorts Company odds of distress Analysis

Vail Resorts' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Vail Resorts Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of Vail Resorts' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vail Resorts is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Vail Resorts probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vail Resorts odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vail Resorts financial health.

Is Vail Resorts' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. If investors know Vail will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vail Resorts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.116

Dividend Share

8.24

Earnings Share

6.12

Revenue Per Share

73.853

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.02)

The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Retained Earnings	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Cash And Equivalents	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.64	0.95	0.76	0.92	0.98	0.91	0.95	0.84	0.7	0.96	0.97	0.88	0.84	0.96	0.96	-0.94	-0.94	0.9	0.97	0.85	0.53	0.8	-0.67	0.87	0.76	0.67	0.6
Total Stockholder Equity	0.64		0.44	0.45	0.51	0.5	0.51	0.51	0.82	0.76	0.64	0.47	0.4	0.61	0.52	0.72	-0.66	-0.53	0.72	0.46	0.81	0.04	0.66	-0.66	0.41	0.46	0.51	0.0
Net Debt	0.95	0.44		0.68	0.86	0.97	0.8	0.92	0.76	0.61	0.9	0.97	0.91	0.83	0.93	0.91	-0.89	-0.97	0.84	0.97	0.77	0.56	0.76	-0.6	0.83	0.62	0.49	0.7
Accounts Payable	0.76	0.45	0.68		0.85	0.77	0.81	0.68	0.69	0.53	0.78	0.75	0.7	0.77	0.82	0.68	-0.82	-0.73	0.64	0.74	0.66	0.69	0.7	-0.48	0.74	0.69	0.61	0.44
Net Receivables	0.92	0.51	0.86	0.85		0.92	0.9	0.85	0.72	0.6	0.94	0.9	0.8	0.73	0.98	0.87	-0.86	-0.86	0.82	0.89	0.75	0.71	0.72	-0.61	0.8	0.72	0.6	0.66
Total Liab	0.98	0.5	0.97	0.77	0.92		0.92	0.96	0.77	0.63	0.94	0.99	0.91	0.83	0.97	0.91	-0.93	-0.94	0.84	0.99	0.78	0.57	0.77	-0.6	0.91	0.77	0.66	0.67
Total Current Assets	0.91	0.51	0.8	0.81	0.9	0.92		0.92	0.69	0.52	0.84	0.92	0.83	0.72	0.88	0.8	-0.86	-0.78	0.72	0.92	0.7	0.49	0.67	-0.48	0.95	0.95	0.88	0.53
Short Term Debt	0.95	0.51	0.92	0.68	0.85	0.96	0.92		0.78	0.52	0.84	0.97	0.9	0.81	0.88	0.9	-0.87	-0.91	0.83	0.97	0.8	0.4	0.72	-0.57	0.94	0.85	0.76	0.57
Intangible Assets	0.84	0.82	0.76	0.69	0.72	0.77	0.69	0.78		0.67	0.77	0.77	0.71	0.9	0.74	0.91	-0.83	-0.86	0.9	0.76	0.98	0.3	0.85	-0.73	0.69	0.59	0.55	0.34
Common Stock	0.7	0.76	0.61	0.53	0.6	0.63	0.52	0.52	0.67		0.78	0.55	0.47	0.72	0.69	0.64	-0.77	-0.6	0.6	0.53	0.62	0.22	0.76	-0.59	0.45	0.36	0.31	0.33
Retained Earnings	0.96	0.64	0.9	0.78	0.94	0.94	0.84	0.84	0.77	0.78		0.9	0.81	0.79	0.98	0.91	-0.93	-0.89	0.86	0.89	0.79	0.61	0.79	-0.67	0.76	0.63	0.54	0.62
Long Term Debt	0.97	0.47	0.97	0.75	0.9	0.99	0.92	0.97	0.77	0.55	0.9		0.93	0.82	0.94	0.91	-0.9	-0.95	0.83	1.0	0.78	0.54	0.75	-0.57	0.93	0.79	0.68	0.66
Short Term Investments	0.88	0.4	0.91	0.7	0.8	0.91	0.83	0.9	0.71	0.47	0.81	0.93		0.77	0.84	0.83	-0.87	-0.89	0.75	0.93	0.7	0.48	0.71	-0.47	0.88	0.72	0.61	0.58
Property Plant Equipment	0.84	0.61	0.83	0.77	0.73	0.83	0.72	0.81	0.9	0.72	0.79	0.82	0.77		0.79	0.82	-0.88	-0.88	0.79	0.81	0.85	0.38	0.87	-0.64	0.79	0.62	0.53	0.51
Current Deferred Revenue	0.96	0.52	0.93	0.82	0.98	0.97	0.88	0.88	0.74	0.69	0.98	0.94	0.84	0.79		0.89	-0.91	-0.91	0.84	0.93	0.76	0.67	0.76	-0.64	0.82	0.69	0.57	0.69
Good Will	0.96	0.72	0.91	0.68	0.87	0.91	0.8	0.9	0.91	0.64	0.91	0.91	0.83	0.82	0.89		-0.88	-0.95	0.97	0.91	0.94	0.49	0.78	-0.73	0.77	0.65	0.57	0.52
Treasury Stock	-0.94	-0.66	-0.89	-0.82	-0.86	-0.93	-0.86	-0.87	-0.83	-0.77	-0.93	-0.9	-0.87	-0.88	-0.91	-0.88		0.9	-0.83	-0.9	-0.8	-0.47	-0.83	0.66	-0.83	-0.72	-0.65	-0.44
Net Tangible Assets	-0.94	-0.53	-0.97	-0.73	-0.86	-0.94	-0.78	-0.91	-0.86	-0.6	-0.89	-0.95	-0.89	-0.88	-0.91	-0.95	0.9		-0.9	-0.94	-0.86	-0.54	-0.79	0.67	-0.8	-0.61	-0.5	-0.58
Total Permanent Equity	0.9	0.72	0.84	0.64	0.82	0.84	0.72	0.83	0.9	0.6	0.86	0.83	0.75	0.79	0.84	0.97	-0.83	-0.9		0.83	0.94	0.49	0.74	-0.77	0.68	0.56	0.5	0.46
Long Term Debt Total	0.97	0.46	0.97	0.74	0.89	0.99	0.92	0.97	0.76	0.53	0.89	1.0	0.93	0.81	0.93	0.91	-0.9	-0.94	0.83		0.78	0.54	0.74	-0.56	0.93	0.79	0.68	0.66
Capital Surpluse	0.85	0.81	0.77	0.66	0.75	0.78	0.7	0.8	0.98	0.62	0.79	0.78	0.7	0.85	0.76	0.94	-0.8	-0.86	0.94	0.78		0.39	0.77	-0.7	0.68	0.59	0.55	0.39
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.53	0.04	0.56	0.69	0.71	0.57	0.49	0.4	0.3	0.22	0.61	0.54	0.48	0.38	0.67	0.49	-0.47	-0.54	0.49	0.54	0.39		0.28	-0.2	0.42	0.26	0.12	0.67
Long Term Investments	0.8	0.66	0.76	0.7	0.72	0.77	0.67	0.72	0.85	0.76	0.79	0.75	0.71	0.87	0.76	0.78	-0.83	-0.79	0.74	0.74	0.77	0.28		-0.69	0.68	0.55	0.48	0.45
Short Long Term Debt	-0.67	-0.66	-0.6	-0.48	-0.61	-0.6	-0.48	-0.57	-0.73	-0.59	-0.67	-0.57	-0.47	-0.64	-0.64	-0.73	0.66	0.67	-0.77	-0.56	-0.7	-0.2	-0.69		-0.42	-0.35	-0.32	-0.24
Net Invested Capital	0.87	0.41	0.83	0.74	0.8	0.91	0.95	0.94	0.69	0.45	0.76	0.93	0.88	0.79	0.82	0.77	-0.83	-0.8	0.68	0.93	0.68	0.42	0.68	-0.42		0.93	0.85	0.59
Cash And Equivalents	0.76	0.46	0.62	0.69	0.72	0.77	0.95	0.85	0.59	0.36	0.63	0.79	0.72	0.62	0.69	0.65	-0.72	-0.61	0.56	0.79	0.59	0.26	0.55	-0.35	0.93		0.98	0.34
Net Working Capital	0.67	0.51	0.49	0.61	0.6	0.66	0.88	0.76	0.55	0.31	0.54	0.68	0.61	0.53	0.57	0.57	-0.65	-0.5	0.5	0.68	0.55	0.12	0.48	-0.32	0.85	0.98		0.17
Capital Stock	0.6	0.0	0.7	0.44	0.66	0.67	0.53	0.57	0.34	0.33	0.62	0.66	0.58	0.51	0.69	0.52	-0.44	-0.58	0.46	0.66	0.39	0.67	0.45	-0.24	0.59	0.34	0.17

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0188	0.0205	0.0551	0.0451	0.0406	0.0216
Asset Turnover	0.51	0.37	0.31	0.4	0.44	0.38
Net Debt	2.3B	1.8B	1.8B	2.5B	2.8B	3.0B
Total Current Liabilities	603.5M	978.4M	1.1B	1.1B	1.3B	1.4B
Non Current Liabilities Total	3.1B	3.4B	3.4B	3.5B	4.0B	4.2B
Total Assets	5.2B	6.3B	6.3B	5.9B	6.8B	7.2B
Total Current Assets	665.1M	1.7B	1.8B	1.2B	1.4B	1.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	395.0M	525.3M	710.5M	639.6M	735.5M	772.3M

	Return On Equity	0.17
	Return On Asset	0.0546
	Profit Margin	0.08 %
	Operating Margin	0.33 %
	Current Valuation	10.19 B
	Shares Outstanding	37.97 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.37 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	98.63 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	1.96 M
	Price To Earning	71.25 X
	Price To Book	10.38 X
	Price To Sales	3.03 X
	Revenue	2.89 B
	Gross Profit	1.27 B
	EBITDA	832.27 M
	Net Income	285.1 M
	Cash And Equivalents	562.98 M
	Cash Per Share	27.49 X
	Total Debt	3.03 B
	Debt To Equity	1.59 %
	Current Ratio	1.61 X
	Book Value Per Share	21.86 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	639.56 M
	Short Ratio	3.28 X
	Earnings Per Share	6.12 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.00 X
	Target Price	240.4
	Number Of Employees	7.2 K
	Beta	1.11
	Market Capitalization	7.69 B
	Total Asset	5.95 B
	Retained Earnings	873.71 M
	Working Capital	77.42 M
	Current Asset	322.87 M
	Current Liabilities	506.48 M
	Annual Yield	0.04 %
	Five Year Return	2.23 %
	Net Asset	5.95 B
	Last Dividend Paid	8.24

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Vail Resorts Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Vail Resorts Company odds of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Vail Resorts Probability Of Bankruptcy

Vail Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Vail Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Vail Resorts Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Vail Fundamentals

About Vail Resorts Fundamental Analysis

Vail Resorts Investors Sentiment

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