Lancaster Colony Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

LANC Stock  USD 186.86  1.27  0.68%   
Lancaster Colony's odds of distress is below 1% at the present time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial crisis in the next two years. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Lancaster balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Lancaster Colony Piotroski F Score and Lancaster Colony Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Lancaster Stock refer to our How to Trade Lancaster Stock guide.
  
The current year's Market Cap is expected to grow to about 4 B. The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 3.9 B

Lancaster Colony Company probability of distress Analysis

Lancaster Colony's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Lancaster Colony Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of Lancaster Colony's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Lancaster Colony is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Lancaster Colony probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Lancaster Colony odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Lancaster Colony financial health.
Is Lancaster Colony's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lancaster Colony. If investors know Lancaster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lancaster Colony listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.043
Dividend Share
3.35
Earnings Share
4.7
Revenue Per Share
68.016
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.202
The market value of Lancaster Colony is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lancaster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lancaster Colony's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lancaster Colony's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lancaster Colony's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lancaster Colony's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lancaster Colony's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lancaster Colony is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lancaster Colony's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lancaster Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Lancaster Colony is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Lancaster Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Lancaster Colony's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Lancaster Colony's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Lancaster Colony's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Lancaster Colony has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.24% lower than that of the Food Products sector and 97.6% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Lancaster Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Lancaster Colony's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Lancaster Colony could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lancaster Colony by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Lancaster Colony is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Lancaster Colony Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Asset Turnover1.521.441.341.331.641.93
Net Debt(173.6M)(154.8M)(24.1M)(58.5M)(52.6M)(55.3M)
Total Current Liabilities126.3M173.9M165.6M168.8M194.1M102.7M
Non Current Liabilities Total83.8M84.2M80.1M82.0M94.3M53.5M
Total Assets993.4M1.1B1.1B1.1B1.3B646.7M
Total Current Assets385.6M423.5M351.8M374.5M430.6M330.8M
Total Cash From Operating Activities170.8M174.2M101.8M225.9M259.8M272.8M

Lancaster Fundamentals

About Lancaster Colony Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Lancaster Colony's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Lancaster Colony using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lancaster Colony based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Lancaster Colony offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lancaster Colony's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lancaster Colony Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lancaster Colony Stock:
Check out Lancaster Colony Piotroski F Score and Lancaster Colony Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Lancaster Stock refer to our How to Trade Lancaster Stock guide.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

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Is Lancaster Colony's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lancaster Colony. If investors know Lancaster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lancaster Colony listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.043
Dividend Share
3.35
Earnings Share
4.7
Revenue Per Share
68.016
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.202
The market value of Lancaster Colony is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lancaster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lancaster Colony's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lancaster Colony's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lancaster Colony's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lancaster Colony's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lancaster Colony's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lancaster Colony is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lancaster Colony's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.