Aurora Mobile Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| JG Stock | USD 3.08 0.02 0.65% |
Aurora | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Aurora Mobile Company chance of financial distress Analysis
Aurora Mobile's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Aurora Mobile Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 56% |
Most of Aurora Mobile's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Aurora Mobile is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Aurora Mobile probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Aurora Mobile odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Aurora Mobile financial health.
Is Aurora Mobile's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurora Mobile. If investors know Aurora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aurora Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.44) | Revenue Per Share 48.561 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.48) |
The market value of Aurora Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aurora that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aurora Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aurora Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aurora Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aurora Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aurora Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aurora Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aurora Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Aurora Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Aurora Mobile is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Aurora Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Aurora Mobile's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Aurora Mobile's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Aurora Mobile's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Aurora Mobile has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 56%. This is 38.41% higher than that of the Software sector and significantly higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 40.6% lower than that of the firm.
Aurora Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Aurora Mobile's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Aurora Mobile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurora Mobile by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Aurora Mobile is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Aurora Mobile Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.12) | (0.29) | (0.24) | (0.26) | (0.18) | (0.19) | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.72 | 0.96 | 0.6 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.57 | |
| Net Debt | (201.4M) | (130.9M) | 59.4M | (111.1M) | (109.9M) | (115.4M) | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 195.8M | 460.0M | 373.6M | 249.6M | 241.3M | 254.6M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 238.2M | 6.0M | 6.5M | 12.5M | 5.2M | 4.9M | |
| Total Assets | 941.6M | 787.3M | 595.5M | 420.9M | 350.2M | 635.1M | |
| Total Current Assets | 655.3M | 530.1M | 381.1M | 176.7M | 169.6M | 315.2M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | (25.8M) | 75.8M | (76.7M) | (17.5M) | (17.9M) | (18.8M) |
Aurora Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.48 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0812 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.21) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.10) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 166.09 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 5.99 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.79 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.11 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 17.46 K | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.74 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.06 X | ||||
| Revenue | 290.23 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 225.76 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (26.32 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (62.67 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 111.84 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.94 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 4.64 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.73 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.80 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.44 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (17.91 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.74 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.44) X | ||||
| Target Price | 7.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 371 | ||||
| Beta | 0.94 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 18.44 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 350.19 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (988.67 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (71.7 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 320.45 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 90.32 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 350.19 M |
About Aurora Mobile Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Aurora Mobile's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Aurora Mobile using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aurora Mobile based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Aurora Mobile Piotroski F Score and Aurora Mobile Altman Z Score analysis. For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.Note that the Aurora Mobile information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aurora Mobile's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Aurora Stock analysis
When running Aurora Mobile's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aurora Mobile's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurora Mobile. If investors know Aurora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aurora Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.44) | Revenue Per Share 48.561 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.48) |
The market value of Aurora Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aurora that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aurora Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aurora Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aurora Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aurora Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aurora Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aurora Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aurora Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.