Johnson Controls International Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
JCI Stock | USD 64.87 0.77 1.20% |
Johnson | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Johnson Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis
Johnson Controls' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Capital Expenditures | 592M | 539M | 619.9M | 766.6M | Dividends Paid | 916M | 980M | 1.1B | 1.2B |
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Johnson Controls Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 13% |
Most of Johnson Controls' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Johnson Controls International is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Johnson Controls probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Johnson Controls odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Johnson Controls International financial health.
Is Johnson Controls' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Johnson Controls. If investors know Johnson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Johnson Controls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.232 | Dividend Share 1.47 | Earnings Share 2.69 | Revenue Per Share 39.282 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of Johnson Controls Int is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Johnson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Johnson Controls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Johnson Controls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Johnson Controls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Johnson Controls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Johnson Controls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Johnson Controls is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Johnson Controls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Johnson Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Johnson Controls is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Johnson Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Johnson Controls' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Johnson Controls' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Johnson Controls' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Johnson Controls International has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 13.0%. This is 69.47% lower than that of the Building Products sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 67.36% higher than that of the company.
Johnson Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Johnson Controls' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Johnson Controls could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Johnson Controls by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Johnson Controls is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Johnson Controls Main Bankruptcy Drivers
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Return On Assets | 0.0305 | 0.0155 | 0.0391 | 0.0363 | 0.0438 | 0.0503 | |
Net Debt | 5.9B | 6.4B | 6.9B | 8.0B | 9.2B | 9.7B | |
Total Current Liabilities | 8.2B | 9.1B | 11.2B | 11.1B | 12.7B | 7.0B | |
Non Current Liabilities Total | 14.0B | 14.0B | 13.5B | 13.5B | 15.5B | 16.3B | |
Total Assets | 40.8B | 41.9B | 42.2B | 42.2B | 48.6B | 51.0B | |
Total Current Assets | 10.1B | 10.0B | 11.7B | 10.7B | 12.3B | 7.6B | |
Total Cash From Operating Activities | 975M | 2.5B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 2.6B | 1.3B |
Johnson Controls ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Johnson Controls' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Johnson Controls' managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Johnson Fundamentals
Return On Equity | 0.13 | ||||
Return On Asset | 0.0402 | ||||
Profit Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
Current Valuation | 52.49 B | ||||
Shares Outstanding | 681.5 M | ||||
Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.30 % | ||||
Shares Owned By Institutions | 92.95 % | ||||
Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.5 M | ||||
Price To Earning | 30.53 X | ||||
Price To Book | 2.62 X | ||||
Price To Sales | 1.63 X | ||||
Revenue | 26.79 B | ||||
Gross Profit | 8.97 B | ||||
EBITDA | 3.9 B | ||||
Net Income | 2.03 B | ||||
Cash And Equivalents | 2.03 B | ||||
Cash Per Share | 2.96 X | ||||
Total Debt | 8.85 B | ||||
Debt To Equity | 0.59 % | ||||
Current Ratio | 1.04 X | ||||
Book Value Per Share | 24.50 X | ||||
Cash Flow From Operations | 2.22 B | ||||
Short Ratio | 1.38 X | ||||
Earnings Per Share | 2.69 X | ||||
Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.24 X | ||||
Target Price | 63.13 | ||||
Number Of Employees | 100 K | ||||
Beta | 1.25 | ||||
Market Capitalization | 43.84 B | ||||
Total Asset | 42.24 B | ||||
Retained Earnings | 1.38 B | ||||
Working Capital | (347 M) | ||||
Current Asset | 10.47 B | ||||
Current Liabilities | 10.45 B | ||||
Z Score | 3.95 | ||||
Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
Five Year Return | 2.47 % | ||||
Net Asset | 42.24 B | ||||
Last Dividend Paid | 1.47 |
About Johnson Controls Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Johnson Controls International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Johnson Controls using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Johnson Controls International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. Johnson Controls International plc was incorporated in 1885 and is headquartered in Cork, Ireland. Johnson Controls operates under Diversified Industrial classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 102000 people.
Johnson Controls Investors Sentiment
The influence of Johnson Controls' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Johnson. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Johnson Controls' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Johnson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Johnson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Johnson Controls International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Johnson Controls' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Johnson Controls' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Johnson Controls' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Johnson Controls.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Johnson Controls in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Johnson Controls' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Johnson Controls options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Johnson Controls Piotroski F Score and Johnson Controls Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Johnson Controls Int information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Johnson Controls' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
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When running Johnson Controls' price analysis, check to measure Johnson Controls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Controls is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Controls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Controls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Controls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Controls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Johnson Controls' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Johnson Controls. If investors know Johnson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Johnson Controls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.232 | Dividend Share 1.47 | Earnings Share 2.69 | Revenue Per Share 39.282 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of Johnson Controls Int is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Johnson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Johnson Controls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Johnson Controls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Johnson Controls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Johnson Controls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Johnson Controls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Johnson Controls is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Johnson Controls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.