Hawaiian Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

HA Stock  USD 13.32  0.02  0.15%   
Hawaiian Holdings' odds of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small probability of experiencing financial hardship in the next few years. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Hawaiian balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Hawaiian Holdings Piotroski F Score and Hawaiian Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Hawaiian Stock refer to our How to Trade Hawaiian Stock guide.
  

Hawaiian Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Hawaiian Holdings' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Extraordinary Items8.4M8.0M
Reconciled Depreciation133.6M153.0M

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Hawaiian Holdings Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 44%  
Most of Hawaiian Holdings' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Hawaiian Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Hawaiian Holdings probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Hawaiian Holdings odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Hawaiian Holdings financial health.
Is Hawaiian Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hawaiian Holdings. If investors know Hawaiian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hawaiian Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Earnings Share
(5.05)
Revenue Per Share
52.645
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Hawaiian Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hawaiian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hawaiian Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hawaiian Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hawaiian Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hawaiian Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawaiian Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hawaiian Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hawaiian Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hawaiian Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Hawaiian Holdings is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Hawaiian Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Hawaiian Holdings' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Hawaiian Holdings' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Hawaiian Holdings' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Hawaiian Holdings has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 44.0%. This is 3.33% higher than that of the Passenger Airlines sector and 3.02% higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 10.47% lower than that of the firm.

Hawaiian Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Hawaiian Holdings' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Hawaiian Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hawaiian Holdings by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Hawaiian Holdings is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Hawaiian Holdings Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0543(0.13)(0.0313)(0.058)(0.0625)(0.0656)
Asset Turnover0.690.210.340.640.650.62
Net Debt989.1M1.4B1.9B1.9B1.9B2.0B
Total Current Liabilities1.1B1.0B1.1B1.1B1.1B1.2B
Non Current Liabilities Total2.0B2.4B3.0B2.7B2.9B3.1B
Total Assets4.1B4.0B4.6B4.1B4.2B4.4B
Total Current Assets874.7M1.1B2.0B1.7B1.2B1.2B
Total Cash From Operating Activities485.1M(310.7M)251.3M(57.8M)(160.0M)(152.0M)

Hawaiian Fundamentals

About Hawaiian Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hawaiian Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hawaiian Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hawaiian Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Hawaiian Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, Hawaiian Airlines, Inc., engages in the scheduled air transportation of passengers and cargo. Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii. Hawaiian Hlds operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 6674 people.

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When determining whether Hawaiian Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hawaiian Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hawaiian Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hawaiian Holdings Stock:
Check out Hawaiian Holdings Piotroski F Score and Hawaiian Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Hawaiian Stock refer to our How to Trade Hawaiian Stock guide.
Note that the Hawaiian Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hawaiian Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Complementary Tools for Hawaiian Stock analysis

When running Hawaiian Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Hawaiian Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hawaiian Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Hawaiian Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hawaiian Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hawaiian Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hawaiian Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hawaiian Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hawaiian Holdings. If investors know Hawaiian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hawaiian Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Earnings Share
(5.05)
Revenue Per Share
52.645
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Hawaiian Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hawaiian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hawaiian Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hawaiian Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hawaiian Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hawaiian Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawaiian Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hawaiian Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hawaiian Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.