Graphic Packaging Holding Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GPK Stock  USD 29.09  0.19  0.66%   
Graphic Packaging's odds of distress is below 1% at the moment. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial trouble in the next two years. Bankruptcy prediction helps decision makers evaluate Graphic Packaging's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Graphic balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Graphic Packaging Piotroski F Score and Graphic Packaging Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Graphic Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Graphic Packaging's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Graphic Packaging Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of Graphic Packaging's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Graphic Packaging Holding is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Graphic Packaging probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Graphic Packaging odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Graphic Packaging Holding financial health.
Is Graphic Packaging's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graphic Packaging. If investors know Graphic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graphic Packaging listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.26
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
2.34
Revenue Per Share
30.591
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Graphic Packaging Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graphic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graphic Packaging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graphic Packaging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graphic Packaging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graphic Packaging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graphic Packaging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graphic Packaging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graphic Packaging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Graphic Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Graphic Packaging is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Graphic Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Graphic Packaging's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Graphic Packaging's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Graphic Packaging's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Graphic Packaging Holding has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.58% lower than that of the Containers & Packaging sector and 98.12% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Graphic Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Graphic Packaging's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Graphic Packaging could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Graphic Packaging by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Graphic Packaging is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Graphic Packaging Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.03810.02140.01950.05050.06470.0679
Net Debt2.7B3.5B5.6B5.1B5.5B5.7B
Total Current Liabilities1.2B1.9B2.0B1.9B2.6B2.7B
Non Current Liabilities Total3.7B4.1B6.5B6.2B5.8B6.1B
Total Assets7.3B7.8B10.5B10.3B11.2B11.7B
Total Current Assets1.8B2.0B2.5B2.7B2.8B3.0B
Total Cash From Operating Activities665.8M845.6M609M1.1B1.1B1.2B

Graphic Fundamentals

About Graphic Packaging Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Graphic Packaging Holding's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Graphic Packaging using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graphic Packaging Holding based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides fiber-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Graphic Packaging operates under Packaging Containers classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 25000 people.

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When determining whether Graphic Packaging Holding is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Graphic Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Graphic Packaging Holding Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Graphic Packaging Holding Stock:
Check out Graphic Packaging Piotroski F Score and Graphic Packaging Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Graphic Packaging's price analysis, check to measure Graphic Packaging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graphic Packaging is operating at the current time. Most of Graphic Packaging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graphic Packaging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graphic Packaging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graphic Packaging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Graphic Packaging's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graphic Packaging. If investors know Graphic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graphic Packaging listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.26
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
2.34
Revenue Per Share
30.591
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Graphic Packaging Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graphic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graphic Packaging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graphic Packaging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graphic Packaging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graphic Packaging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graphic Packaging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graphic Packaging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graphic Packaging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.