Fat Brands Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FATBB Stock  USD 5.14  0.19  3.56%   
FAT Brands' threat of distress is over 50% at the present time. It has a moderate chance of going through some financial hardship in the next 2 years. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the FAT balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out FAT Brands Piotroski F Score and FAT Brands Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade FAT Stock refer to our How to Trade FAT Stock guide.
  
The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 1.4 B, whereas Market Cap is forecasted to decline to about 66 M.

FAT Brands Company chance of distress Analysis

FAT Brands' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current FAT Brands Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  50%  
Most of FAT Brands' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, FAT Brands is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of FAT Brands probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting FAT Brands odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of FAT Brands financial health.
Is FAT Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FAT Brands. If investors know FAT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FAT Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
(6.17)
Revenue Per Share
31.514
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.438
Return On Assets
0.0022
The market value of FAT Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FAT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FAT Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FAT Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FAT Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FAT Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FAT Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FAT Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FAT Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

FAT Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for FAT Brands is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of FAT Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since FAT Brands' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of FAT Brands' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of FAT Brands' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, FAT Brands has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 50.0%. This is 20.8% higher than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 52.25% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 25.53% lower than that of the firm.

FAT Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses FAT Brands' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of FAT Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FAT Brands by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
FAT Brands is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

FAT Brands Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Debt30.6M94.0M955.5M1.1B1.3B1.4B
Total Current Liabilities45.6M73.2M198.5M267.0M276.6M290.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total31.6M89.9M1.1B1.1B1.4B1.4B
Total Assets82.6M121.1M1.3B1.2B1.4B1.5B
Total Current Assets10.5M24.4M118.5M95.7M121.0M127.1M
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.1M(11.5M)682K(47.4M)(35.6M)(33.8M)

FAT Brands ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, FAT Brands' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to FAT Brands' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

FAT Fundamentals

About FAT Brands Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze FAT Brands's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of FAT Brands using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of FAT Brands based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether FAT Brands is a strong investment it is important to analyze FAT Brands' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FAT Brands' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FAT Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FAT Brands Piotroski F Score and FAT Brands Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade FAT Stock refer to our How to Trade FAT Stock guide.
Note that the FAT Brands information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FAT Brands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FAT Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FAT Brands. If investors know FAT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FAT Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
(6.17)
Revenue Per Share
31.514
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.438
Return On Assets
0.0022
The market value of FAT Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FAT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FAT Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FAT Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FAT Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FAT Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FAT Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FAT Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FAT Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.