C3 Ai Inc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AI Stock  USD 27.26  0.20  0.74%   
C3 Ai's threat of distress is below 50% at the present time. It has small chance of experiencing financial trouble in the next few years. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the C3 Ai balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out C3 Ai Piotroski F Score and C3 Ai Altman Z Score analysis.
  

C3 Ai Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

C3 Ai's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Stock Based Compensation249.0M261.5M
Net Borrowings23.4M20.8M

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current C3 Ai Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 43%  
Most of C3 Ai's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, C3 Ai Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of C3 Ai probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting C3 Ai odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of C3 Ai Inc financial health.
Is C3 Ai's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of C3 Ai. If investors know C3 Ai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about C3 Ai listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.33)
Revenue Per Share
2.536
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.176
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
(0.29)
The market value of C3 Ai Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of C3 Ai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of C3 Ai's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is C3 Ai's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because C3 Ai's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect C3 Ai's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between C3 Ai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if C3 Ai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, C3 Ai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

C3 Ai Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for C3 Ai is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of C3 Ai Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since C3 Ai's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of C3 Ai's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of C3 Ai's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.921.0-0.171.0-0.79-0.81-0.850.80.820.71-0.410.920.990.960.86-0.990.881.00.450.990.990.840.99-0.630.990.68
0.920.91-0.390.91-0.87-0.81-0.950.730.770.88-0.460.720.960.990.91-0.880.90.910.650.860.960.880.85-0.530.960.83
1.00.91-0.161.0-0.76-0.81-0.840.80.80.71-0.380.920.990.950.84-0.990.861.00.430.990.990.830.99-0.650.990.66
-0.17-0.39-0.16-0.160.30.010.430.280.19-0.440.52-0.11-0.24-0.27-0.310.19-0.32-0.16-0.55-0.12-0.240.0-0.130.03-0.24-0.68
1.00.911.0-0.16-0.76-0.81-0.840.80.80.71-0.380.920.990.950.84-0.990.861.00.430.990.990.830.99-0.650.990.66
-0.79-0.87-0.760.3-0.760.770.91-0.76-0.85-0.620.56-0.64-0.82-0.87-0.890.72-0.92-0.76-0.56-0.75-0.84-0.76-0.750.21-0.84-0.78
-0.81-0.81-0.810.01-0.810.770.88-0.92-0.9-0.740.5-0.59-0.84-0.87-0.940.81-0.64-0.81-0.7-0.77-0.82-0.95-0.750.7-0.82-0.73
-0.85-0.95-0.840.43-0.840.910.88-0.74-0.78-0.830.61-0.65-0.9-0.94-0.970.84-0.82-0.84-0.77-0.8-0.9-0.86-0.790.53-0.9-0.92
0.80.730.80.280.8-0.76-0.92-0.740.980.56-0.310.640.80.810.81-0.770.680.80.410.780.80.920.77-0.540.80.49
0.820.770.80.190.8-0.85-0.9-0.780.980.54-0.340.670.820.840.83-0.760.770.80.40.80.820.890.79-0.420.820.53
0.710.880.71-0.440.71-0.62-0.74-0.830.560.54-0.40.410.80.850.79-0.720.60.710.80.620.770.840.61-0.660.770.81
-0.41-0.46-0.380.52-0.380.560.50.61-0.31-0.34-0.4-0.34-0.42-0.44-0.690.43-0.45-0.38-0.75-0.39-0.43-0.37-0.390.35-0.43-0.8
0.920.720.92-0.110.92-0.64-0.59-0.650.640.670.41-0.340.860.770.66-0.910.810.920.150.960.880.580.97-0.50.880.47
0.990.960.99-0.240.99-0.82-0.84-0.90.80.820.8-0.420.860.990.89-0.970.890.990.530.961.00.880.96-0.631.00.74
0.960.990.95-0.270.95-0.87-0.87-0.940.810.840.85-0.440.770.990.92-0.930.890.950.610.910.980.920.9-0.580.980.79
0.860.910.84-0.310.84-0.89-0.94-0.970.810.830.79-0.690.660.890.92-0.850.790.840.790.810.890.890.8-0.610.890.9
-0.99-0.88-0.990.19-0.990.720.810.84-0.77-0.76-0.720.43-0.91-0.97-0.93-0.85-0.81-0.99-0.48-0.98-0.97-0.82-0.980.73-0.97-0.68
0.880.90.86-0.320.86-0.92-0.64-0.820.680.770.6-0.450.810.890.890.79-0.810.860.380.870.910.690.87-0.230.910.69
1.00.911.0-0.161.0-0.76-0.81-0.840.80.80.71-0.380.920.990.950.84-0.990.860.430.990.990.830.99-0.650.990.66
0.450.650.43-0.550.43-0.56-0.7-0.770.410.40.8-0.750.150.530.610.79-0.480.380.430.360.510.660.34-0.570.510.91
0.990.860.99-0.120.99-0.75-0.77-0.80.780.80.62-0.390.960.960.910.81-0.980.870.990.360.970.781.0-0.620.970.61
0.990.960.99-0.240.99-0.84-0.82-0.90.80.820.77-0.430.881.00.980.89-0.970.910.990.510.970.860.97-0.61.00.73
0.840.880.830.00.83-0.76-0.95-0.860.920.890.84-0.370.580.880.920.89-0.820.690.830.660.780.860.77-0.680.860.69
0.990.850.99-0.130.99-0.75-0.75-0.790.770.790.61-0.390.970.960.90.8-0.980.870.990.341.00.970.77-0.60.970.6
-0.63-0.53-0.650.03-0.650.210.70.53-0.54-0.42-0.660.35-0.5-0.63-0.58-0.610.73-0.23-0.65-0.57-0.62-0.6-0.68-0.6-0.6-0.49
0.990.960.99-0.240.99-0.84-0.82-0.90.80.820.77-0.430.881.00.980.89-0.970.910.990.510.971.00.860.97-0.60.73
0.680.830.66-0.680.66-0.78-0.73-0.920.490.530.81-0.80.470.740.790.9-0.680.690.660.910.610.730.690.6-0.490.73
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, C3 Ai Inc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 43.0%. This is 6.28% higher than that of the Software sector and 33.54% higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 7.96% lower than that of the firm.

C3 Ai Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses C3 Ai's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of C3 Ai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing C3 Ai by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
C3 Ai is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

C3 Ai Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.23)(0.0465)(0.16)(0.24)(0.28)(0.29)
Asset Turnover0.510.150.220.240.280.32
Net Debt(33.1M)(109.7M)(335.9M)(282.5M)(254.2M)(267.0M)
Total Current Liabilities81.0M124.5M150.2M136.0M156.4M130.7M
Non Current Liabilities Total406.8M10.8M31.2M37.3M33.6M31.9M
Total Assets305.1M1.2B1.2B1.1B1.3B889.5M
Total Current Assets281.2M1.2B1.1B888.9M1.0B798.0M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(61.3M)(37.6M)(86.5M)(115.7M)(104.1M)(109.3M)

C3 Ai Fundamentals

About C3 Ai Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze C3 Ai Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of C3 Ai using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of C3 Ai Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
C3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence software company in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. C3.ai, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California. C3Ai Inc operates under Information Technology Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 704 people.

C3 Ai Investors Sentiment

The influence of C3 Ai's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in C3 Ai. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to C3 Ai's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in C3 Ai. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding C3 Ai can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around C3 Ai Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
C3 Ai's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for C3 Ai's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average C3 Ai's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on C3 Ai.

C3 Ai Implied Volatility

    
  81.4  
C3 Ai's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of C3 Ai Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if C3 Ai's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that C3 Ai stock will not fluctuate a lot when C3 Ai's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards C3 Ai in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, C3 Ai's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from C3 Ai options trading.

Pair Trading with C3 Ai

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if C3 Ai position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in C3 Ai will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against C3 Ai Stock

  0.6DV DoubleVerify Holdings Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.59DT Dynatrace Holdings LLC Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.5EB Eventbrite Class A Financial Report 14th of May 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to C3 Ai could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace C3 Ai when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back C3 Ai - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling C3 Ai Inc to buy it.
The correlation of C3 Ai is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as C3 Ai moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if C3 Ai Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for C3 Ai can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether C3 Ai Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of C3 Ai's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of C3 Ai Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on C3 Ai Inc Stock:

Complementary Tools for C3 Ai Stock analysis

When running C3 Ai's price analysis, check to measure C3 Ai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy C3 Ai is operating at the current time. Most of C3 Ai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of C3 Ai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move C3 Ai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of C3 Ai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Is C3 Ai's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of C3 Ai. If investors know C3 Ai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about C3 Ai listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.33)
Revenue Per Share
2.536
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.176
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
(0.29)
The market value of C3 Ai Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of C3 Ai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of C3 Ai's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is C3 Ai's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because C3 Ai's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect C3 Ai's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between C3 Ai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if C3 Ai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, C3 Ai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.