American Airlines Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
American Airlines 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
44 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, RND expenses, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

American Airlines Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

  Of Bankruptcy 
Benchmark  Embed   American Airlines Comparables 
Based on latest financial disclosure American Airlines Group Inc has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 44.0%. This is 17.4% higher than that of the Services sector, and about the same as Major Airlines (which currently averages 44.05) industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is 14.26% lower than the firm.
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Probability Of Bankruptcy Input Range 
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Found 8 equities by Probability Of Bankruptcy
DAL NYQDelta Air Lines Inc
35 %
CEA NYQChina Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd
34 %
ZNH NYQChina Southern Airlines Co Ltd
38 %
VLRS NYQControladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin SAB de C
3 %
FLYB LSEFlybe Group PLC
42 %
HA NMSHawaiian Holdings Inc
28 %
JBLU NMSJetBlue Airways Corporation
34 %
AAL NMSAmerican Airlines Group Inc
44 %
You can backtest this sub-set of assets as a synthetic portfolio or check its risk adjusted returns  
Peer Comparison
American Airlines Probability Of Bankruptcy Comparison
  Probability Of Bankruptcy 
Benchmark  Embed   American Airlines Comparables 
American Airlines is rated fourth in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
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Performance Analysis

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Return On Equity139.04 %
Return On Asset8.14 %
Profit Margin14.16 %
Operating Margin16.24 %
Current Valuation41.71 B
Shares Outstanding518.12 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.26 %
Shares Owned by Institutions73.80 %
Number of Shares Shorted34.23 M
Price to Earning10.75 times
Price to Book5.76 times
Price to Sales0.63 times
Revenue40.02 B
Gross Profit29.89 B
EBITDA8.22 B
Net Income5.67 B
Cash and Equivalents6.76 B
Cash per Share13.04 times
Total Debt23.34 B
Debt to Equity5.32 times
Current Ratio0.76 times
Book Value Per Share8.46 times
Cash Flow from Operations6.12 B
Short Ratio4.77 times
One Year High50.64
One Year Low24.85
Earnings Per Share9.65 times
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.48) times
Number of Employees121.8 K
Beta0.85
Market Capitalization25.12 B
Total Asset51.11 B
Retained Earnings1.4 B
Working Capital(3.48 B)
Current Asset11.05 B
Current Liabilities14.53 B
Z Score0.6
Last Dividend Paid0.1