Weyerhaeuser Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.34

WY Stock  USD 35.93  0.48  1.35%   
Weyerhaeuser's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Weyerhaeuser. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Weyerhaeuser based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Weyerhaeuser over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $36.0 is a CALL option contract on Weyerhaeuser's common stock with a strick price of 36.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:44:04 for $0.5 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $0.65. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 17.11. View All Weyerhaeuser options

Closest to current price Weyerhaeuser long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Weyerhaeuser's future price is the expected price of Weyerhaeuser instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Weyerhaeuser performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Weyerhaeuser Backtesting, Weyerhaeuser Valuation, Weyerhaeuser Correlation, Weyerhaeuser Hype Analysis, Weyerhaeuser Volatility, Weyerhaeuser History as well as Weyerhaeuser Performance.
For more information on how to buy Weyerhaeuser Stock please use our How to Invest in Weyerhaeuser guide.
  
At this time, Weyerhaeuser's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 54.25 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 30.20 in 2024. Please specify Weyerhaeuser's target price for which you would like Weyerhaeuser odds to be computed.

Weyerhaeuser Target Price Odds to finish over 34.34

The tendency of Weyerhaeuser Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 34.34  in 90 days
 35.93 90 days 34.34 
about 24.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Weyerhaeuser to stay above $ 34.34  in 90 days from now is about 24.51 (This Weyerhaeuser probability density function shows the probability of Weyerhaeuser Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Weyerhaeuser price to stay between $ 34.34  and its current price of $35.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.38 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Weyerhaeuser will likely underperform. Additionally Weyerhaeuser has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Weyerhaeuser Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Weyerhaeuser

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weyerhaeuser. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Weyerhaeuser's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.6835.9237.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.2436.4837.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.7736.0137.25
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.5838.0042.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Weyerhaeuser. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Weyerhaeuser's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Weyerhaeuser's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Weyerhaeuser.

Weyerhaeuser Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Weyerhaeuser is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Weyerhaeuser's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Weyerhaeuser, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Weyerhaeuser within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Weyerhaeuser Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Weyerhaeuser for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Weyerhaeuser can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of March 2024 Weyerhaeuser paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Weyerhaeuser to Release First Quarter Results on April 25

Weyerhaeuser Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Weyerhaeuser Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Weyerhaeuser's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weyerhaeuser's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding732.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Weyerhaeuser Technical Analysis

Weyerhaeuser's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Weyerhaeuser Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Weyerhaeuser. In general, you should focus on analyzing Weyerhaeuser Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Weyerhaeuser Predictive Forecast Models

Weyerhaeuser's time-series forecasting models is one of many Weyerhaeuser's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Weyerhaeuser's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Weyerhaeuser

Checking the ongoing alerts about Weyerhaeuser for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Weyerhaeuser help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of March 2024 Weyerhaeuser paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Weyerhaeuser to Release First Quarter Results on April 25
When determining whether Weyerhaeuser offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Weyerhaeuser's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Weyerhaeuser Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Weyerhaeuser Stock:
Check out Weyerhaeuser Backtesting, Weyerhaeuser Valuation, Weyerhaeuser Correlation, Weyerhaeuser Hype Analysis, Weyerhaeuser Volatility, Weyerhaeuser History as well as Weyerhaeuser Performance.
For more information on how to buy Weyerhaeuser Stock please use our How to Invest in Weyerhaeuser guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for Weyerhaeuser Stock analysis

When running Weyerhaeuser's price analysis, check to measure Weyerhaeuser's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Weyerhaeuser is operating at the current time. Most of Weyerhaeuser's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Weyerhaeuser's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Weyerhaeuser's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Weyerhaeuser to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Is Weyerhaeuser's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Weyerhaeuser. If investors know Weyerhaeuser will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Weyerhaeuser listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
22.206
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
1.15
Revenue Per Share
10.489
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Weyerhaeuser is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Weyerhaeuser that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Weyerhaeuser's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Weyerhaeuser's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Weyerhaeuser's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Weyerhaeuser's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Weyerhaeuser's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Weyerhaeuser is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Weyerhaeuser's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.