Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 37.64

TWTR -- USA Stock  

USD 40.65  0.07  0.17%

Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish below 37.64

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 37.64  or more in 30 days
 40.65 30 days 37.64 
ABOUT 38.06%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to drop to $ 37.64  or more in 30 days from now is about 38.06% (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between $ 37.64  and its current price of $40.65 at the end of the 30-day period is about 43.33%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1141 . This entails Twitter market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Twitter is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.29 implying that it can potentially generate 0.29% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Twitter Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.11
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.12

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.06%
Short Percent Of Float3.15%
Float Shares741.95M
Shares Short Prior Month20.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day19.11M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month13.59M
Date Short InterestJuly 15, 2019