Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 37.62

TWTR -- USA Stock  

USD 37.49  1.34  3.71%

Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 37.62

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 37.62  or more in 30 days
 37.49 30 days 37.62  ABOUT 45.41%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to move over $ 37.62  or more in 30 days from now is about 45.41% (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between its current price of $ 37.49  and $ 37.62  at the end of the 30-day period is roughly 2.96%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Twitter has beta of 0.0 . This entails the returns on DOW and Twitter do not appear to be sensible. Additionally It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
 Twitter Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.00
β
Beta against DOW=0.00
σ
Overall volatility
=1.74
Ir
Information ratio =0.00

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

Twitter has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.73%
Short Percent Of Float2.79%
Float Shares737.89M
Shares Short Prior Month20.65M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.54M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month16.34M
Date Short InterestApril 30, 2019
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