Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 20.0

TWTR -- USA Stock  

USD 35.02  0.56  1.57%

Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 20.0

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 20.00  in 30 days
 35.02 30 days 20.00  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to stay above $ 20.00  in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between $ 20.00  and its current price of $35.02 at the end of the 30-day period is under 4%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.0139 . This entails Twitter market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Twitter is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Twitter is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Twitter Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.24
β
Beta against DOW=1.01
σ
Overall volatility
=1.47
Ir
Information ratio =0.11

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

Twitter generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.73%
Short Percent Of Float2.79%
Float Shares737.89M
Shares Short Prior Month20.65M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.54M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month16.34M
Date Short InterestApril 30, 2019
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