Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 20.0

TWTR -- USA Stock  

USD 35.02  0.56  1.57%

Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Refresh Odds

Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 20.0

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 20.00  in 30 days
 35.02 30 days 20.00  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to stay above $ 20.00  in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between $ 20.00  and its current price of $35.02 at the end of the 30-day period is under 4%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.0139 . This entails Twitter market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Twitter is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Twitter is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Twitter Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.01
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.11

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

Twitter generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.73%
Short Percent Of Float2.79%
Float Shares737.89M
Shares Short Prior Month20.65M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.54M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month16.34M
Date Short InterestApril 30, 2019