Snap Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.36

SNAP Stock  USD 11.45  0.14  1.24%   
Snap's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Snap Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Snap based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Snap Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $11.5 is a CALL option contract on Snap's common stock with a strick price of 11.5 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:59:50 for $0.08 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.08, and an ask price of $0.09. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 43.04. View All Snap options

Closest to current price Snap long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Snap's future price is the expected price of Snap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Snap Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Snap Backtesting, Snap Valuation, Snap Correlation, Snap Hype Analysis, Snap Volatility, Snap History as well as Snap Performance.
  
At this time, Snap's Price Book Value Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/28/2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 2.76, while Price Sales Ratio is likely to drop 5.63. Please specify Snap's target price for which you would like Snap odds to be computed.

Snap Target Price Odds to finish over 16.36

The tendency of Snap Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.36  or more in 90 days
 11.45 90 days 16.36 
about 16.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Snap to move over $ 16.36  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.78 (This Snap Inc probability density function shows the probability of Snap Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Snap Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 11.45  and $ 16.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Snap will likely underperform. Additionally Snap Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Snap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Snap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Snap Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Snap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.2011.4516.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.4710.7215.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.329.5714.82
Details
41 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.789.6510.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Snap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Snap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Snap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Snap Inc.

Snap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Snap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Snap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Snap Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Snap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.67
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.59
σ
Overall volatility
2.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Snap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Snap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Snap Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Snap Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Snap Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Snap Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.81 B.
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Snap Exceeds Market Returns Some Facts to Consider

Snap Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Snap Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Snap's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Snap's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 B

Snap Technical Analysis

Snap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Snap Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Snap Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Snap Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Snap Predictive Forecast Models

Snap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Snap's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Snap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Snap Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Snap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Snap Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Snap Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Snap Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Snap Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.81 B.
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Snap Exceeds Market Returns Some Facts to Consider
When determining whether Snap Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Snap Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Snap Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Snap Inc Stock:
Check out Snap Backtesting, Snap Valuation, Snap Correlation, Snap Hype Analysis, Snap Volatility, Snap History as well as Snap Performance.
Note that the Snap Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Snap's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Snap Stock analysis

When running Snap's price analysis, check to measure Snap's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Snap is operating at the current time. Most of Snap's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Snap's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Snap's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Snap to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Snap's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Snap. If investors know Snap will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Snap listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.82)
Revenue Per Share
2.856
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.047
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.53)
The market value of Snap Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Snap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Snap's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Snap's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Snap's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Snap's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Snap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Snap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Snap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.